Among the films are ‘Da 5 Bloods’, ‘One Night in Miami’, ‘Minari’ and ‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’.
Forget the criticism groups of the highest incidence. They are influential, but the Screen Actors Guild Awards more reflect the academic actors. SAG and the Oscars are not always on the agenda, some of which are a matter of timing: films that break late are often not seen by the SAG nomination committee. SAG voters tend to be more mainstream and younger than the branch of the Academy’s dominant actors, not to mention the larger number: SAG elects a new nomination committee of 2500 members each year, roughly double the Academy voters .
Last year, the final best film candidates “The Irishman” and “Once Upon a Time in Hollywood” each received four nominations, including Cast in a Motion Picture and Stunt Ensemble, while Greta Gerwig’s “Little Women” was excluded. Do you remember the Bryan Cranston shock for “Trumbo”? That SAG nominee received an Oscar nomination. The SAG actors like Jay Roach; last year’s #MeToo drama “Bombshell” boasted four nominations, including a prestigious ensemble Cast slot, which is often nominated for Best Picture. That SAG love did not carry over to the wider field of Academy voters: Charlize Theron and Margot Robbie attacked Oscar nods, but not Nicole Kidman.
But when Bong picked up Joon Ho’s “Parasite” Ensemble, it was suddenly possible for Neon to accept a best Oscar contender. It was a sign that the film was mainstream enough to process all the way through.
Here are our fearless predictions of the SAG awards, according to the probability that they will land slots. Check back on February 4th for my analysis of the final nominees.
Film ensemble
“The Trial of the Chicago 7” (Paramount / Netflix)
“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom” (Netflix)
“One Night in Miami” (Amazon Studios)
Minari (A24)
“Da 5 Bloods” (Netflix)
Dark horse: “Mank” (Netflix)
In a perfect world: “Judas and the Black Messiah” (Warner Bros.)
Three popular films with extensive cast (“Chicago 7,” “Ma Rainey” and “Miami”) are a slot for this category. The question is which of the two Netflix movies will fill the remaining slots: David Fincher’s “Mank,” which boasts two strong actors who need easy nominations (Gary Oldman and Amanda Seyfried), or Spike Lee’s “Da 5 Bloods” “, which hangs. strong despite its earlier release. It boasts a beautiful ensemble, from the mighty lead role Delroy Lindo (nominated as part of the “The Cider House Rules” ensemble two decades ago) to Clarke Peters (part of the nominated “Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri” ensemble), the late great Chadwick Boseman (part of the nominated ensemble “Black Panther”), Jonathan Majors and Isiah Whitlock, Jr. They can be irresistible.
Do not be surprised if SAG is trending in diversity again this year, including the strong cast for Lee Isaac Chung’s American heart fable “Minari”, led by Steven Yeun. Shaka King’s “Judas and the Black Messiah” arrives strong with excellent reviews, but may have been too late.
Where is the alleged Oscar-winner “Nomadland?” Due to its innovative hybrid cast of pros and cons, it is unlikely to outperform Ensemble.
“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”
Netflix
Movie Actress
Viola Davis (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”)
Frances McDormand (“Nomadland”)
Vanessa Kirby (“Pieces of a Woman”)
Carey Mulligan (“Promising Young Woman”)
Zendaya (“Malcolm & Marie”)
Dark horse: Amy Adams (“Hillbilly Elegy”)
In a perfect world: Kate Winslet (‘Ammonite’)
Oscar winners Davis and McDormand are the leaders in this field, with younger players on their heels. Netflix has put on SAG shows for Venice actress-winner “Pieces of a Woman”, “Hillbilly Elegy” (which admires actors more than critics), and late-breaking “Malcolm & Marie.” Sizzling-hot “Euphoria” Emmy winner Zendaya needed the nomination to advance to the Oscars, but Carey Mulligan built momentum in “Promising Young Woman”.
Kate Winslet, with eight nodding films, two ensemble roles (“Titanic,” Sense and Sensibility “) and two victories (” Sense and Sensibility “and” The Reader “) is a SAG enduring; Do not be the ability of the “Parasite” distributor Neon to get “Ammonite” over the finish line, do not underestimate.
Film actor
Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”)
Anthony Hopkins (“The Father”)
Delroy Lindo (“Da 5 Bloods”)
Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metal”)
Gary Oldman (“Mank”)
Dark horse: Steven Yeun (“Minari”)
In a perfect world: Mads Mikkelsen (“Another round”)
There was a time during the autumn film festivals when Sir Anthony led the tournament for his father-daughter with Olivia Colman, but Boseman’s explosive performance as trumpeter Levee in August Wilson’s play is poised for a well-deserved posthumous victory. Boseman can also be included in Ensemble Cast and Film Supporting Actor for “Da 5 Bloods”, and Lindo should be recognized for the film in this category. Riz Ahmed can not deny his lock as a drummer who becomes deaf in ‘Sound of Metal’.
Oldman, who won the SAG award for “Darkest Hour” on his way to the Oscars and is delighted as the alcoholic screenwriter Herman J. Mankiewicz in “Mank,” is potentially vulnerable if the SAG actors want to make room for someone new . The Danish Oscar presentation “Another Round” is clear, but the film and the actor are both beloved.
Movie Supporting Actress
Amanda Seyfried (“Lack”)
Olivia Colman (“The Father”)
Ellen Burstyn (“Pieces of a Woman”)
Maria Bakalova (“Borat subsequent film”)
Youn Yuh-Jung (“Minari”)
Dark horse: Glenn Close (“Hillbilly Elegy”)
In a perfect world: Helena Zengel (“News of the World”)
Seyfried delivers more than anyone expected than Marion Davies in ‘Mank’, which often leads to serious kudus. Veterans Colman (winner for “The Favorite”) and Burstyn (SAG-nominated for “Requiem for a Dream”) are steady as they go, along with Korean film star Youn Yuh-Jung as the charming grandmother in “Minari”, and this is unlikely Bulgarian newcomer Maria Bakalova as Borat’s daughter in ‘Borat Subsequent Moviefilm’. Actors love Close, who plays a playwright in ‘Hillbilly Elegy’. she is a SAG perennial and won for ‘The Wife’, which beat eventual Oscar winner Olivia Colman (‘The Favorite’).
Film supporting actor
Leslie Odom, Jr. (“One Night in Miami”)
Sacha Baron Cohen (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”)
Chadwick Boseman (“Da 5 Bloods”)
Paul Raci (“Sound of Metal”)
Daniel Kaluuya (“Judas and the Black Messiah”)
Dark horse: Mark Rylance (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”)
In a perfect world: Clarke Peters (“Da 5 Bloods”)
This overcrowded category favors the actor appearing from the ensemble. In this case, with ‘Hamilton’ behind him, Broadway star Odom, Jr. delivers. as pop star Sam Cooke in ‘One Night in Miami’. “The Trial of the Chicago 7” star, Baron Cohen, also gets extra points for his sequel “Borat,” which could boost his faith as Yippie Abbie Hoffman, who, like the actor, is a merry joke with death- serious goals. If Boseman gets a place in the supporting actor, the rest of the excellent “Da 5 Bloods”, “Miami” and “Chicago” will probably knock each other out.
Veteran character Raci’s role as a deaf counselor in ‘Sound of Metal’ comes with a compelling narrative: English is his second language, raised by deaf parents to draw. And assuming that voters saw ‘Judas and the Black Messiah’ in time, British actor Kaluuya impressively channels the young and powerful Chicago Black Panther Fred Hampton, who is far too young by the FBI.
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