(CNN Business) –– The amount of US $ 1.9 billion from President Joe Biden’s fortalecerá the United States economy and impulse a more rapid global crime this year, signal Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) this March. Without embarrassment, the organism warns that many countries continue to suffer from the pandemic and are at risk of quarreling.
The Economy of the United States will supersede its pandemic before the 6.4% increase in pandemic this year, the IMF indicates. A figure that is 1.3 percentage points per unit of the prognosis that the group has in one pass. The answer is that the global economy will expand to 6% in 2021. This is also a majority of 0.5 percentage points with respect to the anterior perspective of the IMF. Additionally, estimates are in line with Wall Street expectations.
“With US $ 1.9 trillion, it is hoped that the new tax package from Biden’s government will generate an impetus for crime in the United States in 2021 and the proportion of positive effects that are significant to commercial societies”, explains FMI in an information. Other governments and central banks all over the world have injected billions of dollars into the global economy.
Recovery from EE.UU. gana velocidad
The IMF signaled that the “political response without precedent” to the pandemic implied that “it is probable that the recession will have the most severe signs that the global financial crisis of 2008”. The group estimates that world cayo production will be 3.3% by 2020, while the state economy will contract 3.5%.
Hecho, there are indications that the recovery of the United States economy is gaining momentum. Employers in the country are aggregating 916,000 jobs in March, the mayor increased since August. Electrical sector manufacturer from EE.UU. also is advancing, and the ISM index, which focuses on this specific area, has recently published its best reading since 1983.
The IMF hopes that the coronavirus vaccination and the governing body’s massive estimate will be combined this year to produce the fastest growing annual United States case since 1984, when Ronald Reagan was president. However, many other countries tend to hope to reach 2022 or 2023 in order to recover all the production that will last during the pandemic. The production of world production will decelerate to 4.4% next year, according to the IMF.
“There is a constant recovery of various velocities in all regions and in all groups of start-ups, relations with different markets in the rhythm of the distribution of vacancies, the degree of support for economic policy and structural factors such as Gop lao , director of the investigation of the FMI. “It is probable that the distinction trays of recovery cranes are significantly more amplified at the levels of life between the developed and other lands”.
United States is not the only one that will create its economy
The prognostic update of EE.UU. means that the mayor of the world economy is on the move to create more rapidly this year that many other nations are developing. The IMF has a minimum of 4.4% in 19 countries that use the euro. Indeed, European countries are fighting against another coronavirus that has forced Germany, France and Italy to repeat the restrictions. It is hoped that production will expand to 3.3% in Japan.
Peru some countries of Asia superarán to the United States. The IMF hopes that China, the only major economy to avoid the recession this year, will rise 8.4% in 2021. A much higher figure than the official country’s forecast of more than 6%. Production in India expanded by 12.5% in the fiscal year ahead of March 2022.
The IMF attributes more solid crime projections to the government’s continuous estimates and the distribution of vacancies. Well, signal that consumer prices may be volatile. Although it is not hoped that inflation levels will rise, there will be a slow rise in wage and, for example, wages.
As such, the IMF warns that “a high degree of redundancy” in its projections. This reflects the range of possible developments that link the coronavirus. «A mayor progresses in vacancies can elevate the prognosis. While the new variants of the virus that evadens the vacancies can lead to a strong dismay ”, the group explained in its information.
During the global financial crisis of 2008, the advanced economies were more affected than the developing nations. Sinembargo, the IMF hopes to close the counter in the pandemic. The group also believes that young men, women and men with lesser qualifications have the highest probability of losing their work due to coronavirus.
“Once the health crisis is over, political efforts can focus more on the construction of resilient, inclusive and green economies.” This is to stimulate the recovery to increase potential production, “said Gopinath.
Although the scheme has helped to protect the economy and the financial system, it has also focused on inverse investors and raised excessive prices and raised the prices of the IMF in a distant report. If the interest rates are subdued as a response to inflation, it could lead to more restricted financial conditions.
The affectionate consequences in the mayor mean to the markets in the poorest countries.
“There is a risk that the financial conditions in emerging markets will be remarkably renewed. “Especially if the authorities of the advanced economies are mediating the normalization of the policies”, says the IMF.