The withdrawal of the United States and the OTAN forces from Afghanistan, recently announced by September 11, marked the end of the Asian peace process with a phase of new civil war negotiations.
The President of the United States, Joe Biden, announced this week his intention to retreat to some 3,500 Afghan officials while revisiting during weeks the historic history between Washington and the Taliban in February of this year in Doha.
The allies of the OTAN will also return to their 7,000 trophies from May 1st.
Both decisions lie within the Afghan tropics, after decades of conflict with the formation of insurgents, are trying to maintain their positions to the tide of the constant.
The Taliban do not control any of the 34 provincial capitals, but the group has the capacity to reduce by 53.8% the control of the Gobierno over national territory, following the latest available dates of the 2019 state warships.
Insurgents directly control the 12% of the territory, mainly in remote areas and small populations, while the rest of the land is considered a dispute.
GUERRA CIVIL Y NUEVAS HOSTILIDADES
In this scenario, the recent proclamations of various commands from the ancient warlords fighting the Taliban on their account, and the insurgent formation intensifying hostilities, have set the stage for a civil war.
“We have a mountain of anti-jihadist commanding officers inside and running the governmental system that there are lists for defending against the Taliban’s people,” said Efe, a political analyst working for Gobierno, who said he was anonymous.
The leader of the ethnic group Hazara and antiguo lord of the war Mohammad Mohaqiq, with influence in the center of Asian countries; Ismail Khan, hombre fuerte en el oeste afgano; and various militias influencing anti-Lebanese in the north have been announced in recent weeks to be listed for enrollment.
Afghanistan has witnessed the recent civil war in recent years, in which the various factions of the muyahidines are pushing for control of the state through the end of the communist regime.
The announcement of the new retreat from the tropical trophies has angered the Taliban, who have agreed to abandon the current peace negotiations in Catar since last September and not participate in international conferences such as the seminar in Turkey next.
The insurgent formation demands that it respect the original May 1 issue, agreed with former President Donald Trump in Doha, a demand that will increase the number of hostilities.
“When the United States and its allies salgan Afghanistan, however, the Taliban will not necessarily continue the negotiations and intend to win militarily, because the war will take place”, said Efe political analyst Hafiz Ahmadi.
The main spokesman for the Taliban, Zabihullah Mujahid, confirmed to Efe that the recruitment of the war depends on the political process.
“If no progress has been made in the negotiations and the band has continued to negotiate our petitions, we will continue the war and we will win over the military media”, dijo, antes de afirmar que disposal 100,000 fighters and active without contacting the soldiers in reserve.
THE PAPIST OF PAKISTAN
General retiree and political analyst Atiqullah Amarkhil affirmed to Efe that “it is certain” that the conflict between the Gobierno and the Taliban will intensify, although it will not be decided that the insurgent group can join a military victory.
“Creo que ningún bando puede ganar esta guerra por la fuerza, los ultimos veinte años han probeste este hecho”, dijo.
Amarkhil records that the Taliban’s move forward in the coming years in Pakistan, because it is the only way that the Afghan conflict can lead to a pacific solution and that the whole country should fully support the insurgents.
The Afghan government and the United States have accused Pakistan of insisting on training and financing the Taliban, while Islamabad has always refused.
For his part, political analyst Safiullah Mullakhil told Efe that a possible increase in hostilities in foreign countries could subscribe to the ground for regional and international terrorist attacks to take place in Asian countries.
THE GOVERNMENT DISTRIBUTES THE CHAPTER OF EJÉRCITO
Pesar de la dudas, el Gobierno afgano se ha esforzado en destacar estas semanas su confianza en las fuerzas de seguridad y la Policía, compouestas un unes 350.000 effectivos including 40,000 membros de las fuerzas especes.
“Afghanistan does not need the United States’ combat troops on the ground, it needs support for its armed forces,” the Afghan National Security Council said.
The 96% of last month’s operations were carried out by the Afghan authorities in autonomous form, the Council stated, while the President of the Asian country, Ashraf Ghani, stated that the United States would continue to provide military assistance sus tropas.