US Secretary of State Tony Blinken and National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan leave for the two-day meeting with Chinese counterparts Wang Yi and Yang Jiechi in Anchorage, Alaska, with lots of luggage.
According to William Reinsch, a trade expert from the Center for Strategic and International Studies who has been acting president of the National Council on Foreign Trade for 15 years, it is likely that other political disputes will dominate the conversation in Anchorage.
The two countries have recently clashed over a number of issues, including the repression of Beijing against Hong Kong, a former British territory, and allegations of widespread human rights violations in the western Chinese region of Xinjiang.
China hopes the Alaska Assembly will disengage from trade policy and eventually lead to a setback in U.S. tariffs, as well as its commitments to buy more U.S. goods. America is not ready to make concessions.
“I do not think it has sunk the limited flexibility that the president has in light of the sharp shift in US public opinion towards China and the strong demands in Congress from both parties for a hard line on China,” he said. Reinsch told CNN Business. “Trade and technology therefore remain issues, but the other issues, especially human rights, are currently higher on the list.”
Neither side indicated that they also see Anchorage as a place for meaningful change in their relationship. The Biden government stressed that the summit was “a one-off meeting” which was “very much intended as an initial discussion”. And Beijing said it did not have “high expectations” for the event.
“The contemptuous hope for the meeting reflects domestic politics – on the US side, Biden wants to avoid looking too soft on Beijing – but also the broader state of the relationship,” Eurasia Group analysts wrote in a research note last week. “Neither the US nor China is willing to make concessions that the other one deems necessary to ease the tension.”
Human rights issues, meanwhile, could exacerbate some of the key economic pain in the street.
“The Biden administration will link human rights issues to exports [and] sales of technology, “said Alex Capri, a research fellow at the Hinrich Foundation and a visiting senior fellow at the National University of Singapore.” Expect to see more export controls and sanctions against Chinese interests. “
Biden’s ‘Build Back Better’ platform is actually a more coherent version of [Make America Great Again]”when it comes to restoring and surrounding strategic industries,” Capri told CNN Business, pointing to possible attempts to remove China from the pharmaceutical, semiconductor, battery, rare earth and artificial intelligence supply chains as ” just the beginning ‘.
Correction: An earlier version of this story misrepresented Xinjiang’s location in China.