South Korea has been struggling for years with a growing demographic crisis. The country’s fertility rate – the average number of children a woman will have in her lifetime – has repeatedly reached record lows and is almost lower than the lowest fertility rates in the world. Meanwhile, the population of South Korea is getting older, leading the country to a demographic decline.
But last year’s census data, released by the Home Office on Monday, looks even more worrying.
There were only 275,815 births, a record low – compared to 307,764 deaths, a 3.1% increase in deaths of the previous year. This is the first time South Korea has hit the “cross-population death toll”, when the death toll exceeds births, the ministry said in a news release – and the first time the total population has shrunk.
The population is rapidly aging, the census showed: 32.7% of people are in their 40s and 50s, and nearly a quarter are over 60.
“The steady decline in birth rates shows that low birth rates remain a major problem in Korea,” the release said. “Consequently, there needs to be a fundamental change in government policies such as welfare, education and national defense.”
The release did not name the causes of death, nor how much the Covid-19 pandemic affected last year’s figures. The pandemic has so far killed 981 people in South Korea, according to a version by Johns Hopkins University.
But Korean experts have previously warned that the pandemic could turn off the number of births and deaths – both because of the growing number of deaths linked to Covid, and because the circumstances of the pandemic could discourage couples from having children.
The bank has warned that South Korea may soon have the highest percentage of elderly people in the world, and insists on strong policies and incentives for childbirth to sustain the country’s economy.
There is also a tendency to delay or avoid marriage. In 2018, a majority of South Koreans were between 20 and 44 years old, according to the Korean Institute of Health and Social Affairs (KIHSA). Among those who did not go out, 51% of men and 64% of women said they did not want to go out so they could enjoy their hobbies or focus on education. Many say they just do not have the time, money or emotional capacity to go on a date.
In an effort to curb the declining birth rates and marriage rates, the South Korean government has implemented a number of initiatives and policies. In 2018, the government reduced the maximum working hours from 68 hours per week to 52 hours last year, with some experts pointing to the declining fertility rate.