Raúl Castro celebrates his 89th birthday, in April the maximum power of Iceland during the Congress of the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC), the first to be realized after the death of his son Fidel in 2016.
The next month, April, the Castro will appeal to Cuba’s political life. A month ago, when the Congress of the Communist Party of Cuba (PCC), Raúl Castro, hermano de Fidel Castro, took place, the party celebrated and called for a new generation.
The hermanos Castro llevaron con firmeza des 1959 las riendas in Cuba, que ahora se abre nua era era con otros hombres en el poder.
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The new team has “depends on the tariff to build its legitimacy, which can only emanate from a political project proposed, that economic prosperity with social justice for Cuba”, said AFP Michael Shifter, president of the Center for Inter-American Dialogue, Washington .
It is predicted that these men and women, captured by the current President Miguel Díaz-Canel, from 60 years, read during the next congress of the PCC (unicorn) – between the 16th and 19th of April – and the maximum direction of the party, center of power in the island.
Cuba will continue to be a socialist, but for specialists the constitutional legality will limit the premise of the ideology and can allow a political opening.
Political reforms
In April 2019, a new Constitution was approved defining the “irreversible” character of socialism in the country. “It’s its time and reflects the diversity of society”, says Raúl Castro, who will be taking over the presidency of Díaz-Canel in 2018, will then be the PCC jefatura.
Different from its predecessor, approved by unanimity in 1976, the new magna card receives the approval of 78.3% of popular suffrage, and a 22% reduction in abstinence, a high level in the Cuban context.
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Without embarrassment, in the last months, artists, intellectuals and other sectors of civil society were forced to demand rights and freedoms in the country.
As long as they advertise, it is hoped that the new team will impose a political reform of the State “to manage effectively the tensions that are manifested in society”, although Shifter considers that in theory the Constitution allows the power of the president to be downgraded.
On November 27, an unpublished pacific protest by 300 artists in front of the Ministry of Culture was recorded, demanding freedom of expression.
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While a week ago, a decree was approved for the animal welfare, considered the first victory of civil society without an official.
The rapid internet propaganda in the last three years in the island has allowed many Cubans to express their displeasure.
The PCC, for its part, announced that it would promote the “political-ideological subversion” in social speeches.
For Shifter, this new governing generation has the difficult challenge of responding to a political project distinct from the generation of historical leaders, which seeks to increase the number of liberties in society.
The tradition of the songs of the revolution has been mobilizing its coughs to counteract the active ideological support, but this is changing.
“Hoy la movilización es selective. It has nothing to do with ideological logic in politics, accommodating the government, demanding more neutrality than militancy, ”said Cuban academic Arturo López-Levy of the Holy Names University in Oakland, California.
Pragmatic relationship with EE. UU.
Another key factor will be the relationship that the new political team has with the United States, which some experts will determine in the midst of what succeeds in the island.
The new president of the United States, Joe Biden, has been campaigning in his campaign to eliminate the impositions imposed by his predecessor, Donald Trump, and to bring about a policy of approximation to Iceland, while complying with the human rights requirement. Sondeverbod, now Cuba has no priority.
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“Because of the dynamics that exist between Cuba and the United States, in fact the United States conditions directly and indirectly much of what happens [en Cuba], from the decision-making body of Cuban leaders, ”said political analyst Harold Cárdenas.
The new Cuban political project also tends to build a pragmatic relationship with the United States, and as such it will change the military presence of the government, the PCC and the economy.
A good deal of the 280 sanctions imposed on Cuba by Trump’s governor will lead military operations. But a new policy could be passed on to civilians in order to avoid sanctions.
Although civilian or military, the State is the owner of their companies.
In the event that it is unsuccessful and the hostility continues continuously, internally “Cuba will live a long renegotiation of civil-military relations”, López-Levy said.
Entitlements “the militaries will carry the perfect justification for following the prominent people in politics and the socio-economic”, concluded.