Prognostic otra temporada of more active hurricanes in the United States

The timing of hurricanes in the Atlantic Ocean is from June 1st to November 30th. If climatic phenomena have been recorded for the duration of these months, the mayor’s concentration will be there during this period. Preview of the commencement, the principal prognosticators of the United States anticipate its quantity and magnitude. Despué de un 2020 en el se rompieron todos los historical records, con 20 tormentas con nombre -de las cuales 13 fueron huracanes- la tendens parecería seguir in 2021.

The experts in meteorology at the State University of Colorado, captured by Phil Klotzbach, announce this game that esperan 17 tropical tormentas, de las cuales 8 podrían convertirse en huracanes. It is considered a normal time that it has 12 towers with number and 6 huracanes. A tropical storm passes to be considered a hurricane when the speed of wind rises to 120 kilometers per hour.

Pero the prognostic and most of the number raised by störs. According to the experts, at least four of the hurricanes of this time series of great hurricanes, it is said that those who read are listed as categories 3, 4 or 5, with winds that exceed 180 kilometers per hour. According to the study, there is a 69 percent probability that at least one of these large hurricanes is alive in the United States.

To explain the scientists, the current atmospheric conditions are very similar to those seen in 1996, 2001, 2008, 2011 and 2017.

“All of these time analogues have a very intense activity. Especially in 1996 and 2017, there were extremely active periods, ”Klotzbach explains when presenting the study.

In the last six years, of particular activity, at least one torment has been formed throughout the month of May, with which it is not clear that this time will be the same. Part of the reason why the screen has a lot of activity is that it has the high temperatures of the water in parts of the Atlantic Ocean and the lack of a phenomenon of El Niño.

The Niño is a natural phenomenon of aqua calentamation in the tropical zones of the Pacific Ocean, the first generation of vertical winds. When this happens, the atmospheric activity that derives from hurricanes across the Atlantic decreases. On the other hand, La Niña’s phenomenon is that when it has more holidays than normal in tropical zones, there is a mayoral hurricane in the Atlantic. This year we will not experience a phenomenon of La Niña, but if the failure of El Niño.

These prognosticators alone do not satisfy the need for the public to be prepared for these phenomena, meaning that they are vital for industries as well as the security measures calculated on the basis of these estimates.

The Colorado State University is one of the most respected in this camp, considering the hurricane predictions from 38 years ago. For its part, AccuWeather, the specialized media, makes its own prediction of the time of hurricanes last week and indicates that there will be between 16 and 20 torrents with number, of the 10 hurricane shores convert to hurricanes. Aggregate that will hope that from 3 to 5 towers will land in the United States. The National Administration of Oceans and Atmosphere will launch its prediction in May.

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