Monday, March 15, coronavirus data provided by Michigan Province: now report a positive rate of 5%

Michigan now achieves a 5% positivity rate on COVID-19 diagnostic tests.

This is the highest average of seven days since January 31st.

The seven-day average of new cases also rose. and is now 1,636, 34% higher than 1,132 a week ago and the highest average of seven days since February 3rd.

Coronavirus numbers in Michigan are rising, but will vaccinations blunt the impact?

Below is a closer look at the provincial data, based on two of the statistics used by the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services.

First, a look at the seven-day average positive percentage per country, grouped according to state statistics.

  • Level E (over 20%): Missaukee.
  • Level D (15-20%): Huron and Wexford.
  • Level C (10-15%), nine provinces highest to lowest: St Clair, Kalkaska, Newaygo, Ontonagon, Cass, Cheboygan, Lapeer and Otsego.
  • Level B (7-10%): 14 provinces, highest to lowest – Tuscola, Roscommon, Calhoun, Van Buren, St Joseph, Osceola, Macomb, Midland, Allegan, Sanilac, Hillsdale, Genesee, Kalamazoo and Branch.
  • Level A (3-7%): 34 counties, highest to lowest – Berrien, Clinton, Monroe, Livingston, Jackson, Wayne, Luce, Ingham, Gladwin, Shiawassee, Ottawa, Crawford, Bay, Eaton, Saginaw, Leelanau, Oakland, Muskegon, Kent, Mason, Grand Traverse, Mecosta, Arenac, Presque Isle, Gogebic, Clare, Ogemaw, Barry, Lake, Charlevoix, Lenawee, Oceana, Manistee, Antrim and Montcalm.
  • Low (below 3%): 23 provinces, highest to lowest – Alcona, Emmet, Delta, Keweenaw, Benzie, Isabella, Houghton, Ionia, Menominee, Alpena, Iosco, Dickinson, Washtenaw, Gratiot, Chippewa, Schoolcraft, Baraga, Montmorency, Marquette, Iron, Oscoda, Algiers and Mackinac.

In the graph below, you can search by country by name to see the average seven-day positivity rate for March 6-12. The graph compares the average of the past seven days with the average for the previous week.

The interactive map below shows the seven-day average test rate per country. You can place your cursor over a country to see the underlying data.

New cases per capita

New daily cases per capita are another measure used by the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services to access coronavirus risk.

This measure calculates the average number of new cases per 1 million inhabitants.

The levels for each country:

  • Level E (more than 150 cases per million): 33 counties, highest to lowest – Missaukee, Huron, Wexford, Otsego, St. Clair, Sanilac, Calhoun, Cheboygan, Newaygo, Cass, Lapeer, Kalkaska, Monroe, Macomb, St. Joseph, Osceola, Jackson, Tuscola, Roscommon, Midland, Ontonagon, Van Buren, Livingston, Genesee, Saginaw, Berrien, Kalamazoo, Grand Traverse, Wayne, Bay, Allegan, Oakland and Ingham.
  • Level D (70 to 149 cases per million): 30 provinces – Lenawee, Leelanau, Clinton, Ottawa, Kent, Keweenaw, Antrim, Hillsdale, Eaton, Shiawassee, Branch, Barry, Washtenaw, Lake, Isabella, Ionia, Benzie, Baraga, Montcalm, Mecosta, Gogebic, Ogemaw, Crawford, Oceana, Delta, Charlevoix, Manistee, Menominee, Mason and Muskegon.
  • Level C (40 to 69 cases per million): Five counties – Houghton, Emmet, Arenac, Iosco and Presque Isle.
  • Level B (20 to 40 cases per million), 10 provinces: Gladwin, Oscoda, Marquette, Montmorency, Chippewa, Alpena, Clare, Alcona, Gratiot and Dickinson.
  • Level A (7 to 20 cases per million): Schoolcraft and Iron.
  • Low (below 7 cases per million): Alger, Mackinac and Luce.

Here is an online database that allows readers to see the number of new coronavirus cases in the last seven days compared to the previous week, as well as the number per capita adjusting for the population. The arrows indicate whether the total number of new cases reported in the last seven days has increased or decreased compared to the previous seven days.

The current scores are based on new cases reported March 7-13. The map below is shadow based on the state’s six levels. The arrows indicate whether the total number of new cases reported in the last seven days has increased or decreased compared to 28 February – 6 March.

Readers can place their cursor over a country to see the underlying data. (Hint: you can drag the map with your cursor to see the whole UP)

Below are online databases that allow readers to look up data at the provincial level over the past 30 days.

Overall score

Seven of eight of Michigan’s MI Start regions are now at level D in the state’s overall risk assessment. The upper peninsula is at level C.

In awarding the risk scores, the Department of Health and Human Services in Michigan looks at factors such as new cases and deaths per capita, test positivity, number of tests administered, and visits to emergency departments for COVID-19 symptoms. The scale used by MDHHS has six levels – ‘low’ plus AE levels.

(The MI districts of the state: Region 1 is the Detroit region; Region 2 is Grand Rapids; Region 3, Kalamazoo; Region 4, Saginaw; Region 5, Lansing; Region 6, Traverse City; Region 7, Jackson and Region 8, the Upper Peninsula.)

Cases per day it was reported to the state

First is a graph showing new cases reported to the state every 30 days. This is based on the fact that a confirmed coronavirus test is reported to the state, which means that the patient first became ill days before.

You can call up a chart for each country and place your cursor over a bar to see the date and number of cases.

(In some cases, a state reported a negative number (decrease) in daily new cases, following a reclassification by the Department of Health and Human Services in Michigan. In such cases, we deducted cases from the previous date and 0 in the reported date.)

The following graph below shows new cases for the past 30 days based on the onset of symptoms. In this graph, the numbers for the past few days are incomplete due to the delay time between people getting sick and getting a confirmed coronavirus test result, which can last up to a week or longer.

You can call up a chart for each country and place your cursor over a bar to see the date and number of cases.

More localized maps

Below are two maps created by the EpiBayes research group at the Department of Epidemiology at the University of Michigan, which have access to sub-province data collected by the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services.

The interactive maps divide the state into hexameters of ten kilometers to give a more localized look at where coronavirus cases occur. You can click here to go to the website of the research project.

The first map looks at confirmed and probable cases of coronavirus in the past week. You can click on a hexagon to see the underlying data.

You can use the triangle button at the top right of the map to switch to the second map, which shows total confirmed coronavirus cases and deaths since the onset of the pandemic.

Last daily report

On Saturday, March 13, the state reported 1,659 new cases of coronavirus and 38 deaths.

The map below shows total confirmed cases and deaths of coronavirus since the onset of the pandemic. You can place your cursor over a country to see the underlying numbers.

Visit MLive’s coronavirus database here for more information across the country. To find a test site in your area, you can visit the state’s online test seeker here, send an email to [email protected], or call 088-535-6136 between 8 a.m. and 5 p.m. weekdays.

Visit https://www.mlive.com/coronavirus/data/ for more information on COVID-19 in Michigan.

Read more on MLive:

Coronavirus numbers in Michigan are rising, but will vaccinations blunt the impact?

No, the Johnson & Johnson coronavirus vaccine is not inferior, say doctors in Michigan

COVID brides and industry professionals consider how the pandemic could change future weddings

Source