La Reserva Federal mejora had 6.5% of the EE UU tras la salida de la pandemia | Economy

The Federal Reserve of the EU (Fed) has presented these markets with economic projections for 2021. Three months from now, the rapid pandemic recovery horizon, thanks to the estimated 1.9 trillion dollar plan of President Joe Biden and the Buen rhythm of vacancy, has raised a cautious optimism in the institution, which has increased the crime forecasts of a country where consumption presents a level similar to the antidote to the pandemic: GDP will expand 6.5% in 2021. The main risk is that over the second world economy there will be inflation.

After a year with the price of the congelado dinar in turn at 0% and of massive asset purchases, the main inconvenience consisted of averaging if the Fed maintained the automatic pilot of emergence in the right direction of the crisis, or react to the signals of real economy estimation, including interest rates and reducing bonus sales. The incurable bonus in any case such as difficult decisions by Jerome Powell, President of the Fed, indicates that the types of interest will be kept to a minimum (the type of reference given in the range between 0% and 0.25%), although crime and inflation have risen sharply.

Before the last macroeconomic forecasts of the institution, in December, consisted of a decrease of 4.2% this year, with a sub-inflation rate of 1.8% and a 5% interest rate, the central bank prevailed for this year , in addition to the most abusive crime, a lower parity rate of 4.5%, and higher ligation inflation (2.4%, four decimated by what Powell sustained from these months), without changes in the projections for 2022 and 2023.

The morning has a inflation rate, by the foreseeable tree of the consumption in primary and vernacular, when in theory the majority of the state population will be vacated – if 2.5 million doses are administered daily -, according to the mayor’s dudas of the analysts. “Some economists have announced that an exaggerated estimate could provoke an overburden of the economy. These have alluded to the huge giants that inflation has risen to levels since the beginning of the decade, which the Fed must oblige the types of much ahead of what many hope, that is what it is like. Sondeverbod, in PIMCO claims that the practical risks of an inflationary episode in the style of the years are relatively low, including the size of the guest is large in comparison with the current production break. For that matter, the most important thing is to focus excessively on inflationary concerns, which can be raised on all issues related to financial stability that have a mayoral probability of affecting markets, ”said Tiffany Wilding, economist at the firm.

Since a year ago, after the declaration of the pandemic and the total closure of economic activity, the Fed has maintained the state economy with life thanks to the artificial responder that has supported the monthly purchase of 120,000 million in bonuses of Treasury and prestige with a mortgage guarantee, a policy that has maintained the credit and helped the economy agitate the embassy of a virus that has destroyed tens of millions of employees. By 2020, those in charge have reiterated that they will continue to this rhythm until there is a “sustainable” economic progress, so that the meeting hopes that a more precise definition of quantity and quantity is considered “sustainable”. No cambios esperar is possible, al menos a corto y medio plazo.

Tesoro’s 10-month bonus yields exceeded 1.60% over the past week, and its market share was down 1.67%, with its highest level since February 2020. Wall Street shares will continue to grow bonus prices, led by the technology sector. The S&P 500 is up 0.4% lower in New York, while Nasdaq technology is down 1% at the opening of this week. Tras announcing the route high for the 2021 of the Fed, both indices record losses.