By Tal Axelrod
• The city of New York is running its mayoral race with a large amount, as a large number of Democrats and some Republicans are ahead of the June 22 election.
The eventual winner of the mayoral race will take a city in a crisis dealing with high levels of coronavirus infections, the economic downturn of the pandemic, crime in the mushrooms and other problems.
The race has already gained a variety of candidates with a variety of experiences that mayor wants to replace Bill de Blasio
Bill de BlasioCuomo faces increasing investigation into COVID-19 deaths in New York State nursing homes warns hospitals need to vaccinate staff for elderly (D), whose oversight of the pandemic has been widely selected. He is barred from offering a third consecutive term.
Among the Democratic candidates running to secure a seat in the November 2 general election are former presidential candidates. Andrew Yang
Andrew YangYang meets the donation requirements to get city funds in the mayor of NYC. Poll finds Yang with big lead in NYC’s mayoral race. The Hill’s Morning Report – Presented by Facebook. Democrats show way to continue Biden’s COVID-19 aid plan, President of Brooklyn Borough, Eric Adams, City Inspector Scott Stringer and former Blasio Maya Wiley councilor.
Here are five things to keep in mind as the race unfolds.
How is the coronavirus
affect the race?
The mayoral race does not look like any other New York city in recent history. Retail politics has long been the main focus of the campaign in the city’s five boroughs, with candidates frequently seen with voters outside shops, on street corners and at local events to gain name recognition and support.
However, it was sharply curtailed during the coronavirus pandemic, a change that was underlined when Yang announced earlier this month that he had tested positive for the virus and would cancel his personal activities.
“They can not do what they have always done,” said Democratic consultant Hank Sheinkopf.
‘New York is a place where people campaign, take subways, stand outside bus lines and restaurants. This is a very extraordinary environment where people are much more personally engaged with candidates. And part of the decision to decide who the mayor is is to see who is in the most physical pain, by getting up early in the morning, going in late at night and being seen at more stops word. ”
The coronavirus could also have an effect on the election, given how severe the pandemic hit the area.
Local elections in the city have historically been plagued by low voter turnout, and sometimes the turnout has not even scratched 20 percent.
But observers suggest that the severity of the pandemic, in addition to an extended early voting period, could slow down the political calculation.
‘The hardest thing to do is to have someone who does not normally run in local primary elections look after them or think that their vote matters, and that’s why I think it’s the biggest factor. Will COVID be serious enough to get a much broader group of New Yorkers to the ballot box? asks Kathryn Wylde, who leads the partnership for New York City.
How much change are people looking for from Blasio?
De Blasio’s management of the city has been widely criticized over the past few years, and criticism only increased during the coronavirus pandemic.
According to a poll in October, his approval rating is less than 50 percent. One Democrat running in 2020 even used de Blasio as a foil, calling him as far as “the worst mayor in New York City history.”
“According to public opinion polls, Bill de Blasio will be hard pressed to win even a significant proportion of the electorate in the city if he is allowed to run again,” Sheinkopf said.
Wylde said voters were primarily looking for a candidate who could propose the kind of clear plan to tackle the pandemic that de Blasio struggled to articulate.
“Political statements just do not solve problems, and I think people have seen it in this very serious situation if we have a different solution every day, depending on the political winds of the moment,” she said.
Can Yang maintain his early forerunner status?
Yang, who came to the fore during his surprisingly strong presidential campaign, is an early frontrunner in the Democratic primary, with a poll earlier this month showing him a big lead over his rivals.
He is by far the best-known candidate in the race, with 84 percent of respondents saying they had heard of him. Stringer is the second best-known candidate with 66 percent name recognition.
Now comes the difficult part for Yang: maintaining the leading status.
While the entrepreneur has an extensive presence on social media and has a very loyal following, he came out at the gate with early gaffes. Among other things, he asked for answers about why he lived in his suburban house during the pandemic and why he did not vote in the 2000 and 2012 presidential election or in every New York mayoral election between 2001 and 2017.
Apart from these erroneous mistakes, Yang does not have a ruling experience, at a time when voters can look to a firm hand to lead them out of the pandemic.
‘I think it’s going to be very difficult for those who do not have a record in public service and intimate knowledge of the city, to convince voters that they are the driver the city needs. So, I think there is a built-in benefit for those who have been in government, who know people who are pre-pandemic and who they know in their community environment, not just from a zoom look, ”Wylde said.
It is also likely that voters’ confidence in other candidates will increase as more campaign ads appear on the air.
“Andrew Yang’s name recognition advantage disappears overnight when the air war begins,” said Eric Phillips, a former spokesman for de Blasio. Can he continue to lead a race when voters get to know the other candidates? I’m skeptical. ”
What role will the chosen choice play in the pre-election?
The city of New York is using the rankings in the mayoral election for the first time this year. This means that if no candidate gets 50 percent or more of the votes in the first round, subsequent elections will be considered until one candidate appears with a majority of the votes.
This can result in fewer negative attacks for fear of alienating another candidate’s supporters and even leading to unusual alliances.
“People are going to make agreements to find out how they support each other to get into first and second place,” Sheinkopf said.
Candidates who are more established in city politics can benefit from the new system.
‘I think the election on the rankings indicates that candidates who are best known for their background in New York political politics will benefit from a situation in which people may say,’ Well, this candidate, I have their ad and they really appealed to me, so I’m going to put it first, but I think it’s a safe choice to vote for another candidate who has a long-term record in the civil service and who I never know “has done something outrageous, is a decent person, whatever,” ‘said Wylde.
Does a Republican have a chance in the general election?
The short answer is: Rare, if not at all.
Registered Democrats surpass Republicans by nearly 7 to 1 margin in the city, and the blue color deepened during the Trump administration. Outside of Staten Island, Republican victories in the city are increasingly rare.
Wylde said a Republican will not have a chance unless there is a world-breaking event. “When asked to provide clarity, she said that only an event of the same magnitude as the terrorist attacks on September 11 could shake up the race enough to give a Republican a real chance.
Sheinkopf put it more bluntly: “A Republican who runs must save his money and buy a house.”