(CNN) – The persistence of the covid-19 pandemic in many countries of Latin America and the Caribbean is affecting the economic panorama of the region, for which citizens and economies need some kind of livelihood to overcome the crisis, advises the International Monetary Fund FMI ). The body is estimated to be 2024 at the earliest to catch up with the prevalent levels of the pandemic.
The IMF recognizes that a continuous subsidy in the interest areas of large plaza in the United States, through the yields of the treasures of the Treasury, represents a risk for the region, although –has now– has had a reduced impact on prices of assets and capital flows.
In the blog firm Economy, Alejandro Werner, Director of the Occidental Department Hemisferio Occidental, the FMI has the highest recovery rates for this year of 4.1% and 4.6%. For 2022, a regional expansion of 3.1% is forecast – from more points than its February forecast.
But the effects of the pandemic are serious: averaging 19 million people in poverty, the inequality – measured by the Gini coefficient – is amplified by 5%, and has lasting effects on the human capital by college students which, assures the FMI, would be more prolonged than in other countries of the world.
Economy: “The media have a negative impact”
In addition, labor markets are fragile mantles, and only three thirds of them lost their jobs at the beginning of the pandemic in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico and Peru have been penalized by fines for 2020, and the information sector is losing ground the mayor’s employment number – he will lead the recovery.
For subregions, the Monetary Fund deducts the majority in the projection of crème de la crème for Central America, Panama and the Dominican Republic, which will increase by 5.6%, with more percentage points per year of its February estimate, thanks to its current program US $ 1.9 trillion in United States, which will be favored by business and retailers.
Caribbean countries exporting prime materials –Guyana included– will create a 6% increase in 2021, and will mark a surprising expansion of 19.2% in 2022. On the contrary, the IMF records the Caribbean tourism forecast that depends on tourism to 1.4%, and hopes for a mayoral expansion to 5% one year later. Seran these economies, advise the financial organism, the ultimate in recovery.
(Credit: FMI)
Riesgos al crecimiento
For this year 2021, the best rates for crime rates in all countries included in the analysis of the International Monetary Fund: Argentina, with a 5.8% increase; Brazil, with 3.7%; Chile, which is thankful for the Gobierno support measures, will regain its pre-eminence crime rate by 6.2%; Colombia, 5.1%; Mexico will increase 5%. The exception in this case is Peru, where the IMF reports a median percentage point in its projection of crime, ‘n 8.5%.
Pero matiza: “The recent resurgence of viruses in Brazil, Chile, Paraguay, Peru and Uruguay, combined with vacancies of vacancies (except in Chile) will put a gloom on the horizon, although it is likely that the new ones will be dañinos que al cominzo de la pandemia, a medida que las economies han aprendida a adaptarse ”, distaca el Fondo Monetario.
Fed Secretary Jerome Powell said “60 minutes” that EE.UU’s economy. is at a point of inflection
As for Mexico, the FMI economists say that, given the significant fiscal support gap and the continued inversion in the inversion economy, the economy will recover from the prevalent pandemic levels of 2023, compared to the positive effects of the Estad package approved Unidos, which has your export products and a mercado, is the load maker’s favorite. Including, in labor matters, those persons who had been contracted in Mexico had superstitious major losers who entered who were working.
The IMF estimates that crime will decrease or decrease during 2022 for Argentina, which will create 2.5% of these minimum deaths. The prognosis for Brazil is 2.6% and the third decimal point for Chile is 3.8%. In the case of Colombia, it was reduced to 3.6%, and the average for Mexico was in the percentage point range, at 3%. For Peru, the economic expansion projection for 2022 will not change.
2020, the balance of the pandemic
The economic contraction due to the pandemic this year, of 7.0%, is well under way with the initial calculation of the body, has been the most severe in the world, and although a recovery process has been accelerated during the second week of the year in the region, the FMI doubled that velocity was more slow than in other emerging markets and more slow than the global economy “had political support and precedents, on the basis of commercial societies, the prices of prime materials alza favorable financing conditions ”.