The ecuatorians accuse the dominoes of the urns with a certainty and various inconsistencies. The only security is that the current president, Lenín Moreno, has the right to remove the cargo the next month may not open at all to any aspirant, at the moment. The comics are celebrated with 16 candidates who will cast their votes, including the opinion studies distancing themselves with the favorite numbers: Andrés Arauz, leader of the Union platform for Esperanza and encouraged by the candidate Rafael Correa; and the conservator Guillermo Lasso, an old acquaintance of Ecuador’s politics, Minister of Economy during the 1999 financial crisis, governor of Guayas, the province of Guayaquil, and hoy cabeza of the CREO Movement cartel.
None of the available probes has been used by any of the 50% needed to get started in the first place, and in most recent cases the scenario of a victory with more than 40% and a margin of 10 points is not clear, otra of the necessary conditions to avoid a desempate. There is, of course, an important difference in the methods of the surveys considered. Judging by the percentage of people included in the zero vote categories, in blank or unspecified, some of them appear to filter or recalibrate the data to obtain only the percentage of support estimated for each candidate (and then this is the value Residual categories are closed), other polling cases include large volumes of zeros, blanks or indices. However, in each case, it is clear from those who eliminate the evacuation to the voters that dudan logra no candidate the umbrella necessary.
The other central consensus in the polls is the favorable margin that Arauz has. All contemporary studies from November 17th onwards will take place by sea or by a reduced margin. No projection, no embargo, is made anywhere from 40%. Coinciden also in his main ideological ideology, Guillermo Lasso, occupying the second position. And, ultimately, there is a consensus that the third series will be led by the indigenous conductor Yaku Pérez, to the sufficient distance in all of them as to a second flight between Arauz and Lasso is the most reasonable demoscopic expectant.
A possible second will be celebrated on April 11, inside more months, as well as as a briefing in the previous presidential comic books. In 2017 Moreno, Correa’s candidate states, will not impress against Lasso in the first round, even though he has scored a point, and the final result will be decided in another vote. The last time a candidate won the elections in the South American country without the need to leave was in 2013. At the moment, he is running with a huge electoral support and will be able to rehabilitate his mandate with 57% of the suffragettes. The executor, who was present at the political debate in the country, was stationed in Belgium, the governor of Ecuador for a decade.
The tendency of the candidates in these elections is more complicated to extrapolate, among other reasons for the variety of methods, but also for the selection of available probes. Register once during the month of January; from the Nochebuena Day of 2020. Así, the pronunciation of the ascending curve of Arauz, which the former minister in the last stage of Correa, could be a statistical artifact. Without embarrassment, among the cautious men, it seems reasonable to assume that his candidacy will be more, and not less, between the citizens. The fragmentation of the options and the hecho of that its most important mededinger, Lasso, is an aspirant and conocido and with a market conservator is added to the equation that the nearest domingo decides the future of the Andean country.