Covid-19’s financial toll as homeowners holds out mortgage loans

A promising sign of a setback in the pandemic-ravaged economy has stalled: Fewer lenders are resuming mortgage payments.

The share of homeowners deferring mortgage lending gradually declined from June to November, an indication that people are returning to work and that the economy is starting to recover. But the decline has largely flattened since November, when the current wave of coronavirus cases in communities across the country increased.

Over the past two months, the group of homeowners has risen to about 5.5%, according to the mortgage association. Although it is below a peak of 8.55% in June, some economists are worried about the irritating tolerance – and they are worried that it could even start to climb if the economy shakes jobs.

Other data point to a slowdown in the U.S. economy this winter, and greater pressure on household finances. Employers cut their jobs for the first time since spring last month. The number of jobs has declined, and claims for unemployment insurance remain high. Retail sales fell for three consecutive months.

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“With declining recovery and more applications for unemployment claims, we’re likely to see greater demand for tolerance,” said Ralph McLaughlin, chief economist at Haus, a home finance firm. “One of the guarantees people have when they own a home is to ask for their patience.”

According to the MBA, about 2.7 million homeowners are about 5.5% of the borrowers who tolerate. (The rate did drop to 5.37% in early January.) According to the MBA, there were about 4.3 million homeowners peaking in June.

Shunda Lee plans to resume payments at her home in Forney, Texas, this month after a three-month contract with Regions Financial Corp. ended. The courthouses where she works as a lawyer are often closed, which casts doubt on her short-term income.

The pandemic closed in Texas for the first time last year, but Lee, 47, managed to stay current until September and use her savings to pay the monthly installments of about $ 1,600 on her federally backed mortgage. deck. She recently requested and received a three-month extension on her Regions treaty plan.

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If she still does not work full-time when the expansion expires, she said she intends to request additional tolerance. Lee said she would ask for help from her parents, who live nearby, as a last resort.

“If the worst is worst, I will do it,” she said. “Nobody wants me to lose my house.”

The Federal Care Act passed last March gave borrowers the opportunity to defer payments on federally backed mortgage loans to 12 months. About 75% of U.S. mortgages are guaranteed or insured by the U.S. government, according to mortgage information firm Black Knight Inc.

Many homeowners may not be able to start paying again if the oldest plans expire at the end of March, said Andy Walden, director of market research at Black Knight.

“It’s very unknown in terms of what share of homeowners … can get back on track and what share needs additional help,” Walden said.

Only 35% of homeowners with a contract plan that expired at the end of December were removed from tolerance in the first week of January, according to Black Knight. It has decreased from an average of 60% in the previous three months. This means that more lenders got expansions on their tolerance plans in January.

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Some lenders who left tolerance no longer needed the emergency loan plans, and others were able to work out long-term repayment options, such as a customized loan with a lower interest rate. Others with recently disappeared plans for tolerance have already fallen behind with their payments, according to the MBA. Some of the borrowers probably needed an extension and simply forgot to ask for one – or did not know they had to ask.

Homeowners with Federal Housing Administration loans are more likely to be tolerant than those with mortgage loans backed by Freddie Mac or Fannie Mae, according to MBA data. Only 3.13% of Fannie and Freddie mortgage loans were tolerable in early January, compared to 7.67% of FHA loans.

FHA borrowers usually have weaker credit, lower income and smaller installments than Fannie and Freddie borrowers. Job losses during the pandemic have affected low-wage workers excessively, including employees of restaurants, hotels and shopping malls devastated by the home stay.

And people who find that they need to sign up for mortgage relief in the near future may not be able to get it. The current deadline to sign up for tolerance on many federally backed home loans is the end of February. On his first day in office, President Biden asked the Department of Housing and Urban Development and other agencies to extend the deadline to at least the end of March. (The U.S. Department of Agriculture has already agreed.)

Dean Lemieux, 51, of Daphne, Ala., Pleaded guilty in December to intolerance with his moneylender, Mr. Cooper Group Inc., logged in.

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Mr. Lemieux, a project manager in the oil and gas industry, lost its six-figure revenue last year when oil prices fell to their lowest level in years. He and his wife deducted their savings to stay on their mortgage through the fall.

“It was like we were on the Titanic,” he said. Lemieux said. “Now we are in the lifeline with the tolerance.”

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