The British variant has been completed in the media in Spain by the embarrassing fame that preceded it. It was decided that it would be more contagious and it would have shown itself to be in trouble: if it were to cause less than 2% of the new cases, then it would exceed 80%, following the last dates of the Ministry of Health. But it is also common for people to be more lethal and to take hospitals to a critical situation, even though in Spain it has not yet taken place, the difference between living in the United Kingdom and in France in recent weeks.
The experts consulted affirm that the B.1.1.7 (scientific number of the variant) is due to some of the most serious ingress (although it has to be investigated more in order to actually increase mortality) and impulse the quarter, but precisely its impact about the Spanish sanitation system is notably less important than other countries. “It does not include the augurated peers, which is obviously a good news, but we also know that we have a lot to do to prevent the pandemic. It is not easy to conclude what happened in other lands was not repeated here, ”explained Quique Bassat, ISGlobal’s epidemiologist and researcher at Barcelona.
According to the latest information on the new variants published by Sanidad, from April 12, the UK has 90% more new cases in six autonomous countries (Andalusia, Asturias, Castile and Leon, Valencian Community, Galicia and Navarre) and 80 % in all cases except Castilla-La Mancha (77%), Aragon (65%) and Madrid (64%).
“It is a hedge that is dominant in Spain of a rapid form. What we need to investigate more is to provoke more serious clinical cases or a mayoral death, ”explained Juan Carlos Galán, Chief of Virology at Ramón y Cajal University Hospital (Madrid). “There are indications that even if they are, especially in groups of 40 or 50 years old, we will lose the evidence that we are corrupt,” he added. ‘On this topic there is conflicting information and no consolidation. An article published in Earth concludes that this variant increases mortality, except for the latter not confirmed ”, relates José Miguel Cisneros, Chief of Infectious Diseases of the Seville Hospital Virgen del Rocío.
The experts advise that, although the variant does not have a saturated hospital, its impact is important. “We are expecting serious cases in more young people. The number of hospitalized patients has dropped. It is believed that it does not have a collapse, but it has 180 invasive patients and I do not hope to have so many years of age, with more immunized population and better climatic conditions. It’s obvious that everything has to do with the variant, which is contributing to an important shape in the quarter ”, added Cisneros.
The vaccine is one of the new variables that can affect the impact of B.1.1.7 in Spain. Jesús Rodríguez Baño, Chief of Infections at Virgen de la Macarena University Hospital (Seville), considers that “he is ready for saber” and that he has ten and that other countries with a similar rhythm of ammunition are constantly suffering. “It is clear that vacancies have reduced direct and indirect contact, especially in entrances such as residences, but with our lack of perspective and studies to know if there is a relevant factor that has deactivated the duty of the variant”, says Rodríguez Baño .
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Europe is experiencing a critical moment in January, with the search for the cause of the mayor’s deaths across the continent. The epidemiological situation was bad, but the prognosticators were few. The new variants — the British, but also the Brazilian and the South African — have a horizon in which the only serious and contagious series of illnesses are, in which the vacant podiums lose effectiveness.
For Elena Vanessa Martínez, President of the Spanish Society of Epidemiology (SEE), this is the rapid response from all over the continent. Germany, for example, mantuvo closed the colleges during months. The European Center for Disease Control (ECDC), through its English flagship, is alerting countries that are preparing a predictable “increase in assistance on health care systems”. And the European Union has launched an ambitious plan with the goal of genetically sequencing up to 10% of positive cases to detect new varieties and monitor existing ones.
“The reaction was due to the leaflets from the United Kingdom. It’s normal that vayan surging new variants, but has been in cases where we would not have to worry about them because those known at the moment are not even more exciting. There are times when we see that the new ones become more transmissible or cause more serious clinical cases, ”Martínez explains.
The experts agree that one of the reasons he has allowed to reduce the impact of the new variants is that the means of restraint to prevent his transmission are the same as the one he has. “It has been seen in all cases that some well-designed restrictions have been made, have been pointed out, followed by the diary, as it has demonstrated the great work done in colleges,” the president of the SEE added.
To Quique Bassat, without embarrassment, it is not explained at all, and that these are his agreements between countries and, within Spain, between autonomous communities. And now, the incidents and hospitalizations present great differences. “We do not know why countries like France are present in the last weeks and incidents are very high and our no. The only difference that is evident is the climate, which allows us to live more freely and a better ventilation, although it is believed that only a small part of reality is explained “, Bassat explains.
“It simply came to our notice then that we were able to draw up adjusted policies. And we are in the process of doing just that, on the other hand, we are applying that we do not live up to the result. On the contrary, the cases in which we do not have the best results. “It’s something we are used to comparing landscapes, but also autonomous communities, while we always explain why”, he concluded.