Coronavirus: graphs that show the probability of hospitalization and death following age, sex and risk factors | Salud | La Revista

March 15, 2021 – 18:33

Once the COVID-19 initiation pandemic differentiated the risks associated with this contagion that it had reached the millions of lives in the world, it had a fundamental part to continue with our daily life.

It must be said that no lie is completely safe. Do you intend to take a taxi?, Do you like the closed windows or closures? What are the probabilities of contact in a supermarket? The responses are dependent solely on the probability that an activity specifically related to a transmission, including what is serious is the lucha against the virus for the person involved.

For example, in the richest countries the rate of lethality (CFR for its sails in English) for people who are positive in the test is poco menus del 2% (real death toll, including undiagnosed cases and more).

Probe ban, COVID-19 lethality varies as the Mayor of the persons does not enroll a CFR of a solo digital bajo. Pocos ninos muestran sintomas, mientras que los ancianos, especialmente watellos con otras enfermedades (“comorbilidades”), mueren a un rhythm rhythm. Officials have embraced universal recommendations such as the use of mascara and social distance, giving the elijan people tolerance to the greatness of their pains, calling for an investigation by The Economist.

Once the evaluations have been completed, you can set up the plant estimate of granular estimates of the COVID-19 giants requires a large amount of data, the sample must have a variety of extras, such as adolescents in serious illness and 90 people with hopeful auras.

It also requires precise proportions of specific demographic-comorbidities, such as men of 30 years of age, and with pancreatitis and asthma.

Currently there is a set of dates of this type, although there are notable defects, according to experts. The group was formed by patients of hospitals, physicians, insurers, pharmacies and data collection providers, creating a data base for the investigation with more than 5,000 million medical records. In addition, it is affiliated with A3.AI, a research group that empowers each patient’s registrar, the project administrators to access it. The Economist.

The investigation records the oath, sex and presence of 29 comorbidities between 104 million of them, of which 466,000 were diagnosed with COVID-19 in May-December of 2020.

In addition, there will be more deaths by 2020, and for people who are positive, they will be diagnosed and hospitalized during their illness. The six can compensate adjusted the model using official dates on cases and deaths by oath, sex and time period.

Risk factors

The serious complications in COVID-19 cases are cardiovascular, including the inflammation of the heart and the irregular coagulation coagulation. The study refutes the evidence that the COVID-19 attack on the body in general and is most exacerbated by comorbidities what causes inflammation or what affects the circulatory system, as renal problems, hepatic or cardiac. On the other hand, respiratory infections such as asthma are associated with menopause, as well as severe, such as pulmonary cancer or pulmonary fibrosis, also important risk factors.

Sex too is an important factor. Después de corregir los sesgos en los datos, murió the 8.5% of the men and the 4.9% of the females of 70 years without affections conocidas in addition to COVID-19.

The numbers for the persons 25 to 34 years with COVID-19, cardiac disease and hyperlipidemia (for example, cholesterol alt), 0.8% increase for men and 0.7% for women. It means that it is possible that deseemos will hope that our children, who play tennis and travel through adventures, are vacated before visitors.

También means that gobernos deben evacuate first to the mayors, including those encounters in an unusual state, and the men may need more limits than the women.

Cabe recalls that the study backs up the idea that the COVID-19 can cause a large scale loss to individuals, without the need for a mate.

“The interactions of COVID-19 with demography and comorbidities his demasiado complies with simple basic rules. To calculate the risks of all the possible combinations of these factors, we have constructed a statistical model using a automatic learning algorithm llamado ‘rivers potentially gradient ‘. For any group of people without vacancies of a certain age, sex and combination of comorbidities, the model estimates the proportions within the 30 back days to a positive test for the COVID-19 in United States fines of 2020 deaths or hospitalized series ”, expose from the review.

También advierten that it is possible that the model’s assumptions are not more than one of his training dates: “It is assumed that the persons are infected with one of the heads of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States until the end of 2020; that the quality of its treatment and the probabilities of making the test are similar to the current statistics at this time; and demographics and immunologically appear on the persons on the dates that share their attributes enumerated. Prohibition of probes, the new viral variants are extending rapidly; the mayor part of the medical attention is better or less than the promedio estadounidense; the most cherished treatments; and the differences in genetics and viral exposure can affect CFRs ”. (I)