The victories of the rallies of Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff in the second elections celebrated in the state of Georgia have led Democrats to control the Senate for the first time since 2008, when Barack Obama won the presidential election.
Warnock won by margin margin (50.9 to 49.1%) to Republican Senator Kelly Loeffler (an ally of President Donald Trump), while Ossoff also won by a similar margin (50.5 to 49.5%) to Republican Senator David Perdue, co-author of the failed migration reform patented by President Donald Trump that includes a merit-based entry system.
If well, both Victorians will have the Democrats with 50 votes in the Senate plenum, the same number as the Republicans, the correspondent for the Vice President, Kamala Harris, will run in favor of Biden’s party.
For its part, the Democrats also monitor the next two years of the House of Representatives, with 222 votes out of 435, which are in full swing.
The new scenario
The President’s ability to negotiate depends on Georgia’s results. Now that the real power is known, it can ensure that its migration reform plan can be screened and debated in both chambers, in order for it to be necessary more than the discipline of its party.
Biden has stated that in the first 100 days of his mandate he will send a project of immigration law to the Senate “with a truck to the city for more than 11 million undocumented, a promise that was launched during the campaign and that the Republicans with recelo.
The President-elect – who was certified this week by the Congress and unveiled the cargo of Vice-President during Barack Obama’s governors (2009-2017) – also said he used the executive power to, by means of decrees, remove the act by Donald Trump in the last four years, changes that will modify the state migration system.
The question is: Can Biden convene the Senate to support its migration plan with the votes that the Democrats hold?
The reform of Biden
The President electes to “modernize” the immigration law and to work with the Congress. In the case of not dealing with the response of both chambers, Biden has argued that by the middle of executive orders everything is right for Trump since the end of 2017 and the legal mark will be approved by the legislature.
Among the possible decrees, experts mention the recovery of asylum policy, the return of extraordinary powers granted to frontier agents and regress to the juices of immigration, and the elimination of impediments to the imposition of injunctions.
We also consider the possibility of obstruction of legal immigration, the protection of the Action Divergent for the Legislation in Infancy (DACA) and the extension and provision of new TPS to document cases with problems and that
The executive branch includes, in addition, a moratorium on redundancies and deportations and establishes new priorities for expulsion centered on those who have committed serious criminal offenses. This annulment was signed on 25 January 2017, stipulating the undocumented permanence constituting an arrangement for public and national security of the United States.
To approve the migration reform, Biden needs 218 votes in the House of Representatives and 60 in the Senate, giving only 50.
What do Republicans say
Through Georgia’s results, Republicans are reorganizing themselves to act on the opposition and define new strategies for negotiating and putting pressure on the new government from the 20th of January.
Moderate Republican sources consulted by Univision Notices say that support for Biden’s migration reform “depends on its content”.
“Without a plan, ‘part by part’ will be more exciting than a giant package,” signaled a Republican source who kept his home safe and sound. In a divided Congress, as it is now, advises, “reform is unlikely”.
Indicates that, by the general election, in the midterm elections, “the party in the White House will have a governing body in Congress, in which case President Biden will run for office.”
In two years
In the first years of his tenure, both Obama and Trump will go with a majority of both chambers, which we will be losing later.
During this period, the sufficient votes will be taken to approve their respective migration plans, in favor of the legalization of documentaries and the other in favor of redress, deportations and other restrictions on legal immigration.
The moderate Republicans now say that Biden’s migration reform “depends on the plan”, and that the greater opportunity is to have a reform “on foot”.
“Read the time to see how serious the Democrats are in working for a bipartisan way with the Republicans,” he said, pointing out that in the last few years the Republicans have not used sufficient political capital to reach out to the Democrats.
The moderate Republicans say that “with all the palaces of the federal government under control, (the Democrats) can do much unilaterally, but for significant and prolonged changes the bipartisan agreements are the best route”.
Cabe signaled that Trump’s governor, in the last four years, has radically modified the migration system in the wake of executive orders and memoranda without the response of Congress. Now the Republicans hope that Biden will not use the same means, but during this time the whole of the Congress will not run for mayor to detain the president and seek bipartisan support in both chambers to change immigration laws.
Party by party
Republican Allocations to Recover the 2013 Speech, When Republican Leadership Representatives of the House of Representatives, John Boehner, Reached a Migration Reform Plan Approved by the Senate with a Bipartisan Support and said a Least of This Type is Possible ‘.
If it exists with a section within the reform, for example, with the dreamers (DACA) and then treat the issue of visas for the foreign agricultural workers (H-2B), it is possible that they will respond. For this, there is support in the senate, ”doubles Wadi Gaytán, spokesman for the Free Initiative, a group that has a moderate key block in both congressional chambers.
“And if we have a more exhaustive plan, as soon as possible, the support for a vote depends on the details”, agrees.
“In general, we will support a reform. We believe that Biden has a great opportunity, but to decide that we will support the reform of the tenemos we see in the plan,” he added.
“But it will be difficult to get votes to approve a plan that gives citizenship to the undocumented if they (the Republicans) are comfortable with the fact that this population (undocumented) will not be followed. We do not want to know that in another 15 years we will have the same problem that we have now ”, subraya.
Another Republican source has suggested that “read the hour in which the party engages in frank talks about what happened (during Trump’s governing body), and where we are going to read as a party. It is a key reflection point in the history of the country ”and in this case the migration theme and the future of the 11 million documentaries are discussed.
What do the activists say
Organizations that are affected by the rights of the immigrants who, from the very first minute, Biden are working on the campaign promises.
“We trust that we will, as it were, send a proposal for Migration Reform to the Senate as promised,” doubled Angélica Salas, Executive Director of the Coalition for the Human Rights of the Immigrants of Los Angeles (CHIRLA).
In view of the electoral results in Georgia, the leader said that Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell will not chair the plenum. “He’d been freaking out all these years, all dead in his hands”, and as of the 20th of March new opportunities are opening up.
With the Senate as Democrat, the legislator Charles Schumer (New York) will preside over the presidency of the Camera Alta.
For Gustavo Torres, executive director of the House of Maryland, “Democratic victory in Georgia increases the chances of negotiating. But if it is not agreed (the reform), we hope that Biden companies will execute orders to protect DACA, the TPS, decree a moratorium on deportations and the need to bring refugees ”.
The reform of 2013
On June 27, 2013, at the beginning of the second Obama administration, the Senate – controlled by the Democrats – approved 68 votes in favor and 32 against the Bipartisan Migration Reform Plan S. 744, which was drafted by the parliamentarian Group of the OKO conformed by four Democratic and four Republican legislators.
The project is based on a strong frontal security unit and includes a truck for documenting the length of time in the country, collecting criminal offenses and paying taxes.
When the plan was sent to the Chamber of Representatives, in these cases under Boehner’s mandate, the response was unequivocal: only a ‘part by part’ plan would be accepted, as well as only Republicans who would be left behind. opposition party.
Boehner said, despite the approval of the bipartisan plan, that the resistance to the project had been met and that the people’s party “was skeptical of large-scale initiatives” and preferred to debate the theme of “a step-by-step” migration reform.
What Boehner was not doing at the time was that, according to the inquiries, the Mayor of the United States favors a migration reform by road and the city for the undocumented, responding that it was created in the last four years.
