As China increases battery production, Dem legislators see another nightmare in the Middle East

The burgeoning Democratic effort has the support of progressive people who are concerned about climate change; unions that see the fulfillment of Biden’s promise to create jobs; and moderates, who see a return to blue-collar manufacturing as a way to help their voters who are losing jobs in the fossil fuel sector.

“We do not produce any of the rare earth minerals, or very, very, very little of any rare earth minerals needed to make a battery,” sen said. Joe Manchin (DW.Va.) told the National Press Club during an event on Monday. “We depend on other resources in the world, and basically the people in parts of the world are enslaved to get the resources we seem to want out of sight out of our minds, and we just say, ‘Well, we have an electric vehicle. “

President Joe Biden knows the difficult history of the last Democratic government’s attempt to use green technology to stimulate the economy. Despite a number of incentives in the stimulus law in 2009, the solar power supply largely moved to China after the country’s government invested heavily in the industry.

From three years onwards, the three largest solar manufacturers in the world are all Chinese. Biden and his team intends to ensure that this does not happen again with batteries, the next clean energy technology that is going to take off.

“If we do not catch up, America will miss the opportunity to shape the world’s climate future in a way that reflects our interests and values, and we will lose numerous jobs for the American people,” the Secretary of State said. , Tony Blinken. said Monday in comments on clean energy.

China’s already major advantage in the sector is that energy experts are concerned that the US could pull in resource-based generations of foreign policy entanglement, such as with the Middle East.

“In 1973 and 1979, when the oil supply was deliberately restricted to the US in response to what was going on in the Middle East, and the biggest response was a diversification of supply,” said Ernest Moniz, who served as secretary of energy former President Barack Obama. The same idea should apply to the trade in batteries and their components between the US and China, Moniz said.

The US today has only three large battery factories, including Tesla’s famous “gigafactory” in Nevada.

According to the analysis firm Benchmark Mineral Intelligence, the meager figure will increase by 2030 to 2030 if current trends continue. These include the planned SK Innovation plant in Commerce, GA, which was threatened by an international trade dispute until a $ 1.8 billion settlement could continue work this month.

By that time, China will have 140 factories and Europe 17, according to the benchmark forecast. And the demand in the US for batteries from car manufacturers and the power grid will be astronomical.

“Between 2030 and 2030, the US will have to plant another 20 batteries, maybe ten if they are really big,” to meet demand for the car, said Simon Moores, managing director of Benchmark. “That means you need it by 2027, which means you have to start working on it by 2023.”

By 2024, there will be more than 200 models for electric or hybrid cars on the U.S. market, each powered by a bundle of rare earth metals sourced primarily from outside the U.S. electricity services. This is another source of demand – they have 107 gigawatts, according to analysis firm Wood Mackenzie, are hours of stationary batteries to help stabilize the power grid by 2025, enough to power nearly 2.7 million new Nissan Leaf electric vehicles.

If the factories are not built fast enough, carmakers will have to slow down new models, which will have to ward off Biden’s ambitious climate and goals for electric vehicles. Or they could go overseas to look for their batteries, which Moores said would probably mean for Chinese suppliers.

To serve the new battery factories, lawmakers and the industry say they hope to attract mining and processing of important metals – such as lithium, cobalt and so-called rare earth minerals – for the USA. But these processes pose major pollution risks.

Abandoned mines could leak chemicals into local water sources for centuries, long after companies that run them went bankrupt, slowing down US mining in the midst of environmental issues. Mining companies and unions both argue that this needs to change.

“We need to note that this drive to electrify is indeed based on mining,” said Rich Nolan, chief executive of the National Mining Association, a trading group representing mining companies. “We must not allow the Chinese to outdo us in this race. We must seize these opportunities anew and attract the capital into the United States.”

The need for domestic mineral production to support the fight against global warming has created strange bedfellows in Washington. Conservation groups that have long opposed new mining projects have quietly met with mining companies and unions to explore more environmentally friendly methods of obtaining scarce minerals.

“We are in the foregoing discussions in this regard,” said Corey Fischer, director of policy for conservation group Trout Unlimited. “There is nothing official like a united front with the administration or a set of principles, but we would like to take that direction.”

Trout Unlimited and the National Wildlife Federation, another nonprofit environment, released a report last year outlining the key principles they can leave behind to resume domestic mining. They are still opposed to mining in sensitive areas such as the Boundary Waters Canoe Area Wilderness in Minnesota, which can be rich in key resources.

The same is true in Congress. Moderate Democrats from traditional coal states, such as Manchin and Senator John Hickenlooper (Colo.), Are drafting legislation to promote mining and mineral processing, hoping to obtain some of the materials from coal waste products and old mines.

Republicans have previously supported some ideas the Democrats are proposing. Manchin joined Sens in 2019. Shelley Moore Capito (RW.Va.) and Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) joined to introduce the Rare Earth Element Advanced Coal Technologies Act (S. 1052 (116)) to extract rare earth metals from coal waste.

But so far, Republicans have been strongly opposed to most Democratic initiatives involving the conversion of fossil fuels, and it seems unlikely that they will support a broad package that includes the Democratic incentives for manufacturing.

Meanwhile, climate hawks like Ron Wyden, finance chairman (D-Ore.) Are demanding tax credits for factories that will convert the materials into the batteries that will power electric vehicles and stabilize the power grid for decades.

According to a staff member of the Committee on Energy and Natural Resources, chaired by Manchin, talks on mining and mineral recovery are still in their early stages. Ideas discussed include tax credits or government grant programs for new mines and processing facilities.

Lawmakers are also investigating whether existing tax programs, such as a special credit for advanced manufacturing, could be expanded or reused for battery recycling and rare earth processing. Manchin and Senator Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) Introduced a bill to do so, focusing on former coal mining communities where unemployment is high.

“We need to invest in the extraction and processing of critical minerals and the recovery of abandoned mining sites, both of which will leverage the skills of our U.S. miners,” Manchin said during the Press Club event.

The Finance Committee’s bill is still in its early stages, but Wyden said it would also include incentives for local semiconductor manufacturing and solar components – two other areas where lawmakers fear Chinese dominance.

Wyden wants to get along with sens. Michael Bennet (D-Colo.) And Stabenow. The bill should expand on Biden’s support for a 10% tax production credit he put forward during the campaign. But legislators have not yet decided on the details, such as the credit size or how many industries it should target.

The House Energy and Commerce Committee also earmarked $ 12.5 billion for local battery production as part of its LIFT America Act. And the White House is urging battery manufacturers to withdraw their suppliers from China and direct the sector in an executive order to review critical supply chains.

But to build the domestic battery industry amid intense competition from China, the US will have to renew these incentives until the domestic supply chain is self-sustaining, battery manufacturers say.

“It can not be a one-time deal,” said Jason Knapp, vice president of government relations for battery maker KORE Power. ‘It’s going to be an integral part of our transportation system and our network. We need to treat it as a recurring thing. ‘

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