Among the 35% and 49% of the votes cast were the presidential candidate by the Alliance for the Esperance (UNES), Andrés Arauz, in the four constituencies of the province of Guayas; although in a district with a minimum difference in front of aspirant Guillermo Lasso, by the CREO-PSC alliance.
It is currently being processed 98.07% of deeds, that is, 8,924. Remaining 176, consists of 1,814 deeds with new ones, following dates from the Electoral National Council (CNE).
Arauz leads with 41.87%, followed by Lasso with 25.30%. This is the decision of the electors for the presidency at the provincial level, due to the surprise of the political analyst Irene Vélez. Note that the Guaya vote has always had a tendency to choose different figures for each dignity and in these comics the exception.
Indica que Guayaquil, although is the base of the Christian Social Party (PSC) in Alcaldia and includes in the last sectional elections with the Prefecture of Guayas, not even in the Presidency. Vélez makes sure that the city supports the figure, but not a political organization.
“Guayaquil has voted for social Christianity and for correctness at different times. Rafael Correa a la Presidencia y Jaime Nebot a la Alcaldía. For the Alcaldía, the mayor has the presence of the social Christians, but for the Presidency there is no disagreement between these options. Vote for a figure and in this case the PSC (Guillermo Lasso) supported a figure that was connected and was carried by what historically has been present, which is the correctness, ”she said.
Vélez mentions that the CREO-PSC alliance for the Presidency does not work in the province due to lack of connection and in addition to the dignity of the era of the social Christians.
“We have always had this division between social Christianity and correctness. He also has a historic alcove support at the party. Creo que in una Alcaldía hubiese sido más fasil que el persona (Lasso) conekke con la ciudadanía, pero para otras dignidades es complicado”, Explica.
Although Arauz has seen a great victory in the province, in the circulars the percentages are different. One with a distant mayor than others. As described in Circulation 4, which corresponds to 22 cantons, between these: Balao, Balzar, Colimes, Isidro Ayora, Milagro, Naranjal, Naranjito, Salitre, Yaguachi.
In this subscription, Arauz got 49.94% of the votes cast, compared to 15.93% for Lasso. For Vélez, these results are due to a dissatisfaction: “It is debated that there is a rural sector and quizzes have been dissatisfied with the Prefecture (social Christian tendency) or because the campaign message from Arauz was much more powerful”.
This is what political consultant Patricia Astudillo agreed with, who agrees with the other detail of this margin margin: “Lasso’s search for the governor of (Lenín) Moreno has also received a card that the jugo in contra, is that it is a very bad governor and with cases zero popular support. The PSC has dedicated the last 20 years to work on the internally and secure majorities in the National Assembly “, menciona.
Pero en la Circulation 3 has a different distinction between these candidates. This district corresponds to the cantons of Durán, Playas, Samborondón and various parishes of Guayaquil as of October 9, Ayacucho, García Moreno, Letamendi, Rocafuerte, Urdaneta, Tarqui and others. Here Arauz has 35.75% of votes and Lasso 34.10%, a difference of 1.65%.
“Hooi voto más urbano, more conservative, empresarial, including emprenders that connect more with Lasso which in other sectors. “In this district, the mayor has had an impact on the public, which belongs to a media class, high media, although there is also a large percentage in Arauz”, says Vélez.
Astudillo considers that this case has an identity theme. “It’s a sum of importance when designing the campaign strategy, whether the people vote for whom they admire, but also for whom they appear and need their intentions”, says the expert and mentions that this element is missing to capture votes.
Mientras que en las circunscripcions 1 (Ximena y Febres Cordero) y 2 (Tarqui y Pascuales) note a difference between Arauz and Lasso, but not as abrupt as in district 4.
In the circulation 1 Arauz tuvo the 40.43% and Lasso the 24.47%. Y en la 2, Arauz, el 40.19% y Lasso, el 28%.
“Arauz toma ventaja y no llega el Masseo de Lasso, quizás el pasade con la conexión con Jaime Nebot no significa nada par esos sectors y en el rural area lo remata”, explains Vélez.
Xavier Hervas and Yaku Pérez pass 10% in Guayas
The presidential candidates Xavier Hervas, by Izquierda Democratica, and Yaku Pérez, by Pachakutik, do not pass 10% of the votes in the province of Guayas.
In the four circuits, Hervas recorded 9.94% of the vote and debated it with 8.71%.
In the province of Guayas, 8,924 acts were registered and 17.16% increase was recorded.
Among the aspirants, Hervas had two votes in the circulars, although Pérez concluded in one.
Treated by Circulation 4, which has more than 20 cantons as El Empalme, El Triunfo, General Antonio Elizalde, Isidro Ayora, Lomas de Sargentillo and others. Aquí Pérez won 10.53%, this is 50.598 votes. Y Hervas llegó al 8.42%, 40,442 votes.
In circulars 1, 2 and 3, the candidate by the Izquierda Democratic Party over Yaku Pérez with more than 3%. For example, Hervas in the 1st district has 11.14% and Pérez 8.23%.
In District 2, Hervas raised 11.56% and Pérez, 7.71%.
Without embarrassment, in Circulation 3 has a minimum difference between both. Hervas has 8.88% of the vote and Pérez has 8.12%. (I)