Dos events of this week should be finalized in the chaos that has consumed EE. UU. through the presidential and legislative elections of November 3rd.
The first is this March, when the state of Georgia goes to the polls to define the numbers of the two senators who failed to complete the Camera Alta y de cuyo resultado depending on control of Congreso.
(Here: The Republican Party joins Donald Trump in Senate)
The second is the next day, during a joint session of the Legislative Assembly to vote on the election of the Electoral College on December 14, the clear triumph of Democrat Joe Biden in his various comics.
In normal circuits, both equivalent moments have a case-by-case protocol of the state electoral system. But in recent news, polarization is even more extreme, as seen as a testament to the power of democracy in this country. In Georgia, las apuestas no podrían ser más altas.
With the White House and the House of Representatives defined in favor of Democrats, Republicans and those who planted these elections as a way of life or death. If pierden have both curules, his rivals obtendrán 50 assistants in the Senate and so the daría la Mayoría pues the vote decision when presenting an empathy the pone the vice president of the country. In this case Kamala Harris.
In practice, this requires the power to implement Biden’s agenda without opposition from the first day of its administration. In other words, approve without dilution to his nominees, give the visit a new package of assistance to free the coronavirus, and block any investigation that will launch the Republicans to get his governor.
Pero si ganan sucedería todo lo contrario.
Candidates for the ballot box are the Republican Senators. Kelly Loeffler and David Perdue led Democrats Democrats Raphael Warnock and Jon Ossoff.
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If the Democrats in Georgia are in control of the Senate and the House of Representatives.
In the November elections, none of the 50 candidates will vote on the eve of the election, as Georgia’s demands to avoid a second vote.
In theory, the Republicans have the upper hand, while Georgia is a state that has to lean on the candidates of this party.
But if anything, it is clear in the presidential elections that the distance between the political factions in EE. UU. ya no es lo que era antes. At least in this state.
Biden hecho fue who won the stage, only by one 10,000 votes.
The polls (not very trusted for these days) have a virtual empathy in both careers and the experts creen that both curls will be defined by a few votes.
But in the current environment, Trump will not swear allegiance to a superstition fraud that can never be demonstrated (and as the courts like electoral authorities reject due to lack of evidence), a disgraceful development could not be explosive. Independent of the result.
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If the Republicans vuelven to lose, the most probable is that resume the via of the questions and protests, employed on a basis that termi deferring electoral process pese and that its members of this same party the ostentan the positions of power in the state and certify the tribe of Biden.
If the Democrats are the Democrats, the effect will be reversed. Among other things, because Trump, while losing the elections in Georgia, has tried to pressure the political authorities to cancel legitimate votes and the triumph of the brave.
It is for this reason, however, that if the elections are new, there will be new petitions and inquiries before the courts, which will have control over the Congress for several weeks.
In the middle of this issue, the joint legislative session will take place, which will be held for these markets.
Agreed with a final ballot of the antepasad (1887), the 6th of January should meet the new Congress (probably without knowing the results of Georgia) to count the votes of the Electoral College, where Biden was charged with 306 fronts front a 232 de Trump.
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In principle, the role of the Congress is a matter of form. It should be noted, however, that the votes of the Electoral College that collect are the names that were sent by the state. This is because in this era there was a time when the polls would be adulted on his congressional truck.
But the law of 1887 also exemplifies a provision that has never been used because it is the cause of an intense controversy.
Given this provision, any congressman may object to the result of the Electoral College’s vote in any state if it is considered irregular.
Donald Trump has a balance and the seno de su propio partido republicano.
To do so, it is necessary that a Senator and a Representative to the Chamber coincide with that objection. From this point of view, the joint session will be disjointed and both rooms will be reunited separately to consider the queue for a maximum period of hours and the average time for voting.
For the first advance it is necessary that the two rooms be approved. But all in advance the process is very confusing.
In theory, the votes of the Electoral College of this state will be queer in the air and will remain the candidate who wins.
And it is unheard of that the triumph of elections sums up the necessary votes to obtain the majority in the Electoral College, then the Congress will take the lead in electing the president.
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But there is no denying that the shortcomings are due to a scenario that has already been presented and in front of which there are many constitutional dudes.
That, in any case, is Trump’s desperate attempt to get to the bottom of what he sees as ongoing and corroborating both electoral authorities and shortcomings.
But his efforts have given him a chance to prosper. This is because the Democrats control the Chamber of Deputies and the deputies any dispute that arises (it is required that the two chambers coincide).
Hecho, the question is that many are Republicans – especially in the Senate – are summed up in the fact that there are many, among them President Mitch McConnell, reconciling the tribe of Biden.
McConnell, moreover, recommends to the members of his party not to respond to an initiative that is viewed as a test of Trump’s leadership that they will divide. It is very probable, including, that the Republicans will not sum up the necessary votes to approve a queue of these in the Senate, given its majority.
But like Dollesteen Edward Foley, professor of history at Yale University, he was treated very harshly for state democracy.
“Trump and his supporters want to convert this session into a circle to ‘relieve’ his accusations of fraud. But it is not the role of the Constitution to be a member of the Congress and it is a precedent that the electoral system should be demolished ” dice Foley.
Bajo is supuesto, afirma el analyst, un party that control both chambers may ignore the popular vote and “poner” to the president of his antiou attribute potential that no pertenecen.
The New York Post itself, a conservative media that has always been characterized by its “trumpism”, published this week an editorial with a huge title in its first page in which the president’s job “detains this location”.
Señor presidente, dice el diario, “Lo que Ud. is promoting (for this year 6) is an anti-democratic state ball ”
.
One more serious, Trump has been promoting a multidisciplinary march for this same day in Washington and has given the idea to its followers that they “Obstruct” that the Congress “Authentic” the victory of Biden.
So much so that the violence of the city and the president’s pretext for invoking the “martial law” of what many of his most radical sympathizers have and come to life as the only way of life to rob the electorate.
(In other remarks: Arrest a pharmacist who dropped 500 doses of vaccine covid-19)
Nadie cree que algo así vaya ‘n suiker. The most likely is that the Congress will meet as soon as possible and have a long session – which can be extended until the next deadline – confirming that all, including the Republican parties, say: that Biden won the elections two months ago and will be in its 20th year as the new president of EE. UU.
Pero the simple hecho of that the idea is around has clear of the delicate moment that lives in this country.
SERGIO GÓMEZ MASERI
Correspondent of EL TIEMPO
Washington
A twitter @ sergom68