“The risk runs today from Iowa to the Gulf Coast. Storms in the north have a higher risk of wind damage and storms further south pose a greater threat to tornadoes. Everyone has dangerous lightning and even potential floods,” CNN meteorologist Chad said. said. Myers.
The Storm Forecast Center issued a 3-out-of-5, “increased risk” warning for severe weather through northern Louisiana, eastern Arkansas, west-central Mississippi and southwestern Tennessee. According to the center, this level of risk means’ many serious storms (are) possible.
The environmental conditions could ‘lead to rapid growth in broken storms and built-in sugar cells as the afternoon progresses,’ the national weather service in Little Rock said. This type of thunderstorm – supercells – is best known for producing tornadoes, but not all.
Low pressure located over the central plains contains a cold front drained in the south and east. This cold front will be the main instigator for storms as it moves eastward.
By early afternoon, a rainstorm and thunderstorms are likely to develop further near this front, from east Kansas to northeast Texas. The Storm Forecast Center has this region at a level 1 out of 5 severe storm risk.
The mid and late afternoon will become more active and dangerous. Those storms will find a better environment for tornadoes and other types of weather, including hail and strong winds. These storms are likely to stretch from Missouri through eastern Texas and northern Louisiana.
By Wednesday night, the storms will move through the lower Mississippi River basin, which still holds the possibility for all kinds of weather. Severe storms are possible as far north as Iowa and as far south as southeastern Texas and the southern Louisiana coast.
Storms will work eastward until early Thursday morning in the direction of the southeastern U.S., but much of the severe weather threat should diminish by that time.
Instant floods are also of concern, with widespread rainfall of 1 to 2 centimeters, but local amounts can be closer to 2 to 4 centimeters.
“Soil saturation and current flow have decreased significantly from where they were a week ago, yet look at above-average soil saturation,” the Weather Prediction Center said of current conditions in parts of Arkansas, Tennessee and Mississippi, where floods are possible is. of the storms through tonight.
Some of these storms, especially in the southern part of the line across parts of Arkansas and Kansas, may be practicing. Storms that practice mean that they move over the same places for a long period of time, which exacerbates the risk of flooding.
Strong storms remain in the forecast until the end of this week. The forecast center warns that isolated severe storms could be possible Thursday from central Tennessee through southeastern Louisiana and the western Florida Panhandle.
A new storm system will then enter the country, and another significant severe weather threat could be possible from Friday to Saturday in the South.
These storms could produce tornadoes, along with damaging winds and hail, but the forecast remains uncertain about the timing and which areas are most at risk from these storms.