Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.
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THE COLLECTIVE
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FORECASTS OF GOLD GLOBE 2021:
BEST Actor in a Motion Picture (DRAMA)
UPDATED: Jan. 2, 2021
AWARDS COMMENT:
The ‘overdue’ story is usually used when judging an Oscar campaign, but occasionally you start noticing veterans who showed up empty-handed in other awards spaces. Anthony Hopkins (‘The Father’) is this year one of the candidates who, despite winning an Oscar for ‘The Silence of the Lambs’, the 83-year-old has never walked away with a competitive Golden Globe with seven previous nominations not. (he received the Cecil B. DeMille Awards in 2006). Even though Chadwick Boseman (‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’) is on a clear path to the Oscars, Hopkins’ zero record with the HFPA could possibly come into play. You can always look for great celebrities to take part in the fight, and a few prominent men can grab the HFPA’s attention this year – Ben Affleck (“The Way Back”), Tom Holland (“Cherry”), Justin Timberlake ( “Palmer”) or John David Washington (“Malcolm & Marie” or “Tenet”) will be in the mix. The “inclusion of stars” usually comes at the expense of someone on their way to the Dolby Theater, and it could be Delroy Lindo (“Da 5 Bloods”), Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metal”) or Steven Yeun (“Minari”) vulnerable (at least at the Globes) .It does not indicate that the big stars do not deserve recognition, because it will be.Around, just a good year in the best actor race.
Olivia Colman and Anthony Hopkins in “The Father” by co-writer and director Florian Zeller
Thanks to Sony Pictures Classics
AND THE PREDICTIVE NOMINEES ARE:
Chadwick Boseman
"Ma Rainey's Black Bottom" (Netflix)
GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
ROLE: Levee
–DIRECTOR: George C. Wolfe
SYNOPSIS: Chicago, 1927. A recording session. Tensions rise between Ma Rainey, her ambitious horn player and the white management determined to control the uncontrollable "Mother of the Blues". Based on Pulitzer Prize winner August Wilson's play..
STARRING: Chadwick Boseman, Dusan Brown, Jonny Coyne, Viola Davis, Colman Domingo, Taylour Paige, Michael Potts, Jeremy Shamos, Glynn Turman
Anthony Hopkins
"The Father" (Sony Pictures Classics)
GLOBES HISTORY: 7 nominations (Cecil B. DeMille receipent in 2006)
ROLE: Anthony
–DIRECTOR: Florian Zeller
SYNOPSIS: A man refuses all assistance from his daughter as he ages. As he tries to make sense of his changing circumstances, he begins to doubt his loved ones, his own mind and even the fabric of his reality.
STARRING: Olivia Colman, Mark Gatiss, Anthony Hopkins, Imogen Poots, Rufus Sewell, Olivia Williams
Delroy Lindo
"Da 5 Bloods" (Netflix)
GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
ROLE: Paul
–DIRECTOR: Spike Lee
SYNOPSIS: Four African American vets battle the forces of man and nature when they return to Vietnam seeking the remains of their fallen squad leader and the gold fortune he helped them hide.
STARRING: Delroy Lindo, Clarke Peters, Jonathan Majors, Chadwick Boseman, Isiah Witlock, Jr,, Norm Lewis
Riz Ahmed
"Sound of Metal" (Amazon Studios)
GLOBES HISTORY: 1 nomination (HBO's "The Night Of" in 2017)
ROLE: Ruben
–DIRECTOR: Darius Marder
SYNOPSIS: A heavy-metal drummer's life is thrown into freefall when he begins to lose his hearing.
STARRING: Riz Ahmed, Olivia Cooke, Paul Raci, Mathieu Almaric, Lauren Ridloff
John David Washington
"Malcolm & Marie" (Netflix)
GLOBES HISTORY: 1 nomination (2018's "BlacKkKlansman")
ROLE: Malcolm
–DIRECTOR: Sam Levinson
SYNOPSIS: A director and his girlfriend's relationship is tested after they return home from his movie premiere and await critics' responses.
STARRING: John David Washington, Zendaya
Ben Affleck in ‘The Way Back’ by director Gavin O’Connor
Richard Foreman
NEXT IN LINE:
Steven Yeun
"Minari" (A24)
GLOBES HISTORY: Never nominated
ROLE: Jacob
–DIRECTOR: Lee Isaac Chung
SYNOPSIS: A Korean family moves to Arkansas to start a farm in the 1980s.
STARRING: Steven Yeun, Yeri Han, Alan S. Kim, Yuh-jung Youn, Will Patton
Gary Oldman
"Mank" (Netflix)
GLOBES HISTORY: 1 nomination, 1 win (2017's "Darkest Hour")
ROLE: Herman J. Mankiewicz
–DIRECTOR: David Fincher
SYNOPSIS: 1930s Hollywood is re-evaluated through the eyes of scathing social critic and alcoholic screenwriter Herman J. Mankiewicz as he races to finish the screenplay of Citizen Kane for Orson Welles.
STARRING: Tom Burke, Lily Collins, Joseph Cross, Charles Dance, Monika Gossman, Ferdinand Kingsley, Jamie McShane, Tuppence Middleton, Toby Leonard Moore, Gary Oldman, Tom Pelphrey, Amanda Seyfried, Sam Troughton
Ben Affleck
"The Way Back" (Warner Bros.)
GLOBES HISTORY: 3 nominations, 2 wins (1997's "Good Will Hunting" in best screenplay and 2012's "Argo" in best director)
ROLE: Jack Cunningham
–DIRECTOR: Gavin O'Connor
SYNOPSIS: Jack Cunningham was a high school basketball phenom who walked away from the game, forfeiting his future. Years later, when he reluctantly accepts a coaching job at his alma mater, he may get one last shot at redemption..
STARRING: Ben Affleck, Al Madrigal, Janina Gavankar
Colin Firth
"Supernova" (Bleecker Street)
GLOBES HISTORY: 2 nominations, 1 wins (2010's "The King's Speech")
ROLE: Sam
–DIRECTOR: Harry Macqueen
SYNOPSIS: Sam and Tusker are traveling across England in their old RV to visit friends, family and places from their past. Since Tusker was diagnosed with dementia two years ago, their time together is the most important thing they have.
STARRING: Colin Firth, Stanley Tucci, Pippa Haywood, Peter MacQueen, Nina Marlin
Tom Hanks
"News of the World" (Universal Pictures)
GLOBES HISTORY: 10 nominations, 4 wins (1988's "Big," 1993's "Philadelphia," 1994's "Forrest Gump" and 2001's "Cast Away" including Cecil B. Demille receipent in 2020)
ROLE: Captain Jefferson Kyle Kidd
–DIRECTOR: Paul Greengrass
SYNOPSIS: A Civil War veteran agrees to deliver a girl, taken by the Kiowa people years ago, to her aunt and uncle, against her will. They travel hundreds of miles and face grave dangers as they search for a place that either can call home.
STARRING: Tom Hanks, Helena Zengel, Elizabeth Marvel, Mare Winningham, Michael Angelo Covino, Ray McKinnon
Tom Holland in “Cherry” by Anthony and Joe Russo
Photo courtesy of Apple TV Plus
ALSO IN CONTENT:
George Clooney,
“The Midnight Sky” (Netflix)Adarsh Gourav,
“The White Tiger” (Netflix)Tom Hanks,
“Greyhound” (Apple TV Plus)Tom Holland,
“Cherry” (Apple TV Plus)Jude Law,
“The Nest” (IFC Films)John Magaro,
“First cow” (A24)Luca Marinelli,
“Martin Eden” (Kino Lorber)Viggo Mortensen,
“Val” (cooks)Liam Neeson,
“Ordinary love” (Bleecker Street)Jesse Plemons,
“I’m thinking of ending things” (Netflix)Tahar Rahim,
“The Mauritanian” (STXfilms)Lakeith Stanfield,
“Judas and the Black Messiah” (HBO Max / Warner Bros.)Justin Timberlake,
Palmer (Apple TV Plus)Denzel Washington,
“The Little Things” (HBO Max / Warner Bros.)John David Washington,
“Tenet” (Warner Bros.)
2021 Golden Globes Forecasts (film)
Timeline for 2020-2021 Golden Globes Awards
- Deadline for submission of Golden Globe film and television entry forms – 30 November 2020
- Deadline for the television nomination ballots to be sent by Ernst & Young to all HFPA members – 30 December 2020
- Deadline for receipt of votes for television nominations by Ernst & Young at 20:00 ET / 17:00 PT – 12 January 2021
- Deadline for the ballot papers for nomination for films to be posted by Ernst & Young to all HFPA members at 20:00 ET / 17:00 PT – 13 January 2021
- The last screening date for films – 26 January 2021
- The last date for film press conferences – 27 January 2021
- Deadline for receipt of ballot papers for nomination for films by Ernst & Young at 15:00 ET / 12:00 PT – 30 January 2021
- Nominations for the 78th Annual Golden Globe Awards announced at 08:00 ET / 05:00 PT – 3 February 2021
- Final ballot papers sent by Ernst & Young to all HFPA members – 23 February 2021
- 78th Golden Globe Awards will broadcast live from 20:00 to ET / 17:00 PT on NBC from The Beverly Hilton in Beverly Hills, California, live from coast to coast – 28 February 2021
Predictions for 2021 Academy Awards
About the Golden Globes
The Golden Globes Awards, presented by the Hollywood Foreign Press Association, has been held annually with 93 members since 1944. The group recognizes excellence in film and television, in various categories of drama and comedy. Damien Chazelle’s “La La Land” holds the record for most awards a single film has won by seven. Milos Forman’s “One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest” and Alan Parker’s “Midnight Express” are next in line with six each. Robert Altman’s “Nashville” holds the record for most nominations for a movie with 11, while Colin Higgins ‘”Foul Play”, Francis Ford Coppola’s “The Godfather Part III” and Mike Nichols’ “Who’s Afraid of Virginia” Woolf? ” share the record for receiving the most nominations and for not winning one prize out of seven.