US coronavirus: US could be deceived by improving Covid-19 numbers, experts say, as tens of thousands of Americans are predicted to die by July.

US coronavirus: US could be deceived by improving Covid-19 numbers, experts say, as tens of thousands of Americans are predicted to die by July.

by

“I think we are going to be deceived,” said Dr. Paul Offit, director of the Center for Vaccine Education at the Children’s Hospital of Philadelphia, said Thursday. “I think what’s going to happen is that you will see that the numbers are going to decrease as we enter the summer months, people will think well, we are good.”

He added: “And if we do not figure out what I think will be at least 80% of the population’s immunity to natural infection or immunization, you will see a resurgence again when winter arrives.”

Over the past seven days, the U.S. has averaged 56,240 new cases a day – the lowest since mid-October – and 1,437 deaths a day, the lowest the country has seen since 19 November.

Yet many states have begun to relax measures, including mask mandates. And as fewer masks and more people with more transmissible variants move around, IHME increased its prediction of Covid-19 deaths by another 22,000 people by July 1st.

Overall, the IHME predicts nearly 600,000 Covid-19 deaths by July 1, compared to the current number of approximately 530,000 recorded deaths.

The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Rochelle Walensky, said in an interview with NBC Nightly News that what the US is doing next could affect the trajectory of the pandemic.

“I think March and April are just such important, critical times,” she said. “On the one hand, you have this hip-transmitted virus that could lead to a new boom after the spring break.

“On the other hand, we are increasing the vaccinations so fast, and what we really want to do is just give those vaccines a chance to overcome and not let this virus come up again.”

Christy Hylton, vice president of the church council, is preparing to draw up a paper heart at One United Church of Christ in Kenhorst, Pennsylvania, to represent every 3,000 deaths of Covid-19 in the state on March 3, 2021.

“We must be humble with this virus”

For those vaccinated, CDC on Monday issued new guidelines and upheld travel recommendations for those vaccinated.

Some have questioned whether the guidelines are too strict.

“We need to be humble with this virus,” Walensky said in an interview with NBC Nightly News. “Every time we felt we had it under control, we had a huge boom.”

As more people are vaccinated and case numbers fall, the CDC could review its leadership, Walensky said.

A year after much of the country was shut down by the virus, more than 98 million doses of Covid-19 vaccine have been administered in the United States, according to CDC data published Thursday.

About 1 in 10 people in the US – about 33.9 million people – have been fully vaccinated and almost 1 in 5 people – more than 64 million – have received one dose.

In a speech Thursday, President Joe Biden promised that the vaccine appointments would be available to all U.S. adults by May 1, and by July 4, the U.S. could celebrate their independence from the pandemic.

“If July 4th arrives and your family is vaccinated and your neighbors are vaccinated in the street, you can absolutely get together for a braai,” said dr. Jonathan Reiner told CN LN Don Lemon on Thursday.

“Getting a shot in the arm is not just the ticket for vaccination, it’s the ticket to get people back into offices, to open cinemas, to fill bars, to get people back on planes. , “he said.

Attention to ‘long Covid’

But even if the spread of the virus is managed in the coming months in the US, the country will still face Covid-19 survivors suffering from the effects of the disease, long after they have been infected, Dr. Ashish Jha, Dean of the Brown University School of Public Health.
“We know that 525,000 of our fellow Americans died, but we also know that tens of millions were infected, fortunately did not die and that they did not recover. But I want to know what the long-term effects are for those individuals,” he said. Jha told CNN’s Erin Burnett.

“I’m worried that we’re actually only seeing the tip of the iceberg when we think of long Covid, that there will be a lot of disability, and a lot of suffering that will be with us for a long time to come,” Jha said. . “I hope that’s not true. But that’s what I’m worried about, and I want to understand it better. ‘

A recent study found that 30% of those with Covid-19 had symptoms up to nine months after the initial infection, and the National Institutes of Health launched a $ 1 billion research effort to address the long-term health consequences to study.

CNN’s Christopher Rios, Brandon Miller, Lauren Mascarenhas, Ryan Prior and Deidre McPhillips contributed to this report.

.Source