Biden wants millions of jobs related to clean energy. Can this happen?

In remarks last week before signing several executive orders focused on its climate agenda, Biden linked his energy policy directly to his plans to rebuild the U.S. economy, citing the need for new, green infrastructure that would create millions of jobs.
” An important plan of our Build Back Better Recovery Plan is to build a modern, resilient climate infrastructure, ” Biden said, ” and a clean energy future that will create millions of well-paid unions – not 7, 8 , 10, 12 dollars not. an hour, but the prevailing wage and benefits. ‘
During its campaign, Biden’s climate agenda includes the goal of creating 10 million new jobs related to clean energy above and beyond the 3 million jobs for clean energy that, according to the campaign, currently exist. “If executed strategically, our response to climate change could create more than 10 million well-paying jobs in the United States,” the plan said, without setting a timeline for the job-creating goal.

This is definitely an ambitious goal. Measuring the feasibility of Biden’s plan is quite difficult and depends on several variables, including whether Congress will pass climate legislation. Biden has proposed a $ 2 billion climate plan, which includes spending on things like renovating green energy infrastructure in the US. Green jobs are also difficult to define, with different studies varying greatly depending on what type of job they choose. For context, it is also worth examining President Barack Obama’s climate and energy efforts, many of which were recalled under President Donald Trump, and the impact they have had on green work.

During the eight years of Obama’s presidency, the US economy has added 11.6 million new jobs, which only adds to the steepness of Biden’s challenge if it wants to create 10 million new jobs for clean energy, as he said during his campaign. .

Clean energy work numbers

To first measure the feasibility of Biden’s plan, one must determine what these clean energy-related jobs are, and get good data to establish a baseline and historical trends, which are not easy.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics investigated what it called ‘green work’ in 2010, before the budget cut stopped the study in 2013. The BLS has broadly defined these positions, in part as those in which the duties of employees mean the production processes of their enterprise more environmentally. friendly or use less natural resources. ‘

This definition was not limited to those who directly contribute to the construction, installation or maintenance of green energy technology, but was so broad that it included work in sewage, publishers of environmental trade publications and environmental and scientific museums, to name a few. to name.

In the 2010 survey, the BLS reported that the US had “3.1 million jobs in green goods and services (GMCs).”

A 2020 report by Environmental Entrepreneurs, a non-partisan group of business leaders focused on the environment and the economy, found that ‘[b]That’s why nearly 3.4 million Americans worked in clean energy during the COVID-19 crisis – solar, wind, energy efficiency, clean vehicles and more. ”

Bob Keefe, executive director of Environmental Entrepreneurs, said the study did not focus on the broad category of “green work”, but rather on work involved in the clean energy process.

“[P]people can call what they want, a green job, ‘Keefe said,’ whether it’s someone working in recycling or something like that. OK, well this is green work. I’m talking about working with clean energy. ‘

According to the report by Environmental Entrepreneurs, these jobs for clean energy increased by about 2% in 2019 and by 4% in 2018. But for Biden to reach just one million new clean energy jobs in its first four years, there needs to be an annual increase of 6.7%, based on the figures from the Environmental Entrepreneurs report, and that is after it returned to the work levels of before Covid.

Obama’s efforts

Obama, who has campaigned hard for tackling climate change, has seen significant barriers throughout the courts, legislation that dies in the Senate and eventually has many of his government’s new environmental regulations revoked under President Donald Trump.

Obama did pass the U.S. Recovery and Reinvestment Act in February 2009 to get the economy moving in the midst of the recession. The Recovery Act contains grants and loans for the EPA and the Department of Energy.

One study led by Syracuse professor David Popp examined the ‘green’ funds of the Recovery Act – focusing on environmental issues – and found that for every $ 1 million dollars a few years later, 10 new jobs were created.

“Almost all of the jobs were manual labor, a lot of which was construction,” Popp told CNN. ‘Much of it is by design, because that’s where the money is targeted’ through energy efficiency upgrades and the installation of renewable energy infrastructure.

Cap and trade legislation, which would set limits on carbon dioxide emissions for businesses, died in a Senate controlled by 57 Democrats – seven more than Biden currently has – after the House passed the bill in 2009.

“[Obama] Adam Rome, an environmental historian at the University of Buffalo, told CNN.

Despite Democrats controlling Congress only with a thin razor, Rome said Biden could have the opportunity to work on ‘legislative, non-executive action’ to address climate change.

“Biden, I think, admits he has that kind of New Deal moment here,” Rome said.

Biden’s challenge

Biden cannot achieve its extensive $ 2 trillion clean energy plan without the action of Congress. At the moment, the president would need every Democrat in the Senate to pass the necessary legislation – and he might also have to sign Republicans as Democrats as sens. Joe Manchin and Kyrsten Sinema continue to oppose the elimination of the filibuster.

The current pandemic is also creating constraints on what Biden can currently achieve in Congress, with most members focused on an economic incentive package from Covid-19. And if the president is unable to pass a stimulus package, his climate agenda is highly unlikely to do so.

Even if Biden succeeds in his energy plan through a senate with strong differences of opinion on environmental policy, experts disagree as to whether his goal is to achieve millions more jobs for clean energy.

“If the question is, I think the Biden plans are going to create millions of jobs, the answer is yes,” Keefe told CNN. “Is it 10 million? Is it 20 million? I think it needs to be determined.”

Keefe noted that some of these future jobs are already planned, while General Motors has announced that by 2035 it will only produce emission-free vehicles.

Benjamin Zycher, a resident scholar who focuses on energy and environmental policy at the American Enterprise Institute, a right-thinking tank, told CNN that “more expensive energy means less work. It’s just that simple.”

“The best you could hope for,” Zycher said, “is simply a shift from other sectors to green sectors, but it is also being defined.”

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