Joe Biden’s legacy at the White House opens a new scenario for relations between Cuba and the United States, marked by hostility and an increase in sanctions during Donald Trump’s term. Will the story of the Obama era take place?
The practice of disenfranchisement in four years at the same pace as the more than 200 Washington sanctions it has imposed on the abyss of a Cuban economy and exhaustion, including the argument of the supreme support of Cuba and Nicolas Maduro of Venezuela in the island.
Trump blamed transportation, tourism and travel, banning negotiations with an extensive “blacklist” of companies working with Cuban militaries, paralyzing consular services through some mysterious health problems by EE.UU diplomats. and was distributed in Cuba to the list of victims of terrorism, of which salaries in 2015.
For many, there is a strategy to win votes in Florida, the epicenter of Cuban exile.
Biden’s vivió of circa the “deshielo” as Vice President Barack Obama and during his campaign advance that retaliate the act annulment, at least, the media that hinder the relationship of the families of one and another orilla.
BASTARÍA UNA FIRMA
The question is what margin of maneuver has and where to go. However, since then it has been a new addition to the Gobierno Cuban, in addition to being an aggravated part with a historically more difficult sector in a trenching scenario.
“Biden can immediately file one of Trump’s sanctions using his executives, because he’s as imposing,” confirms Efe William LeoGrande, professor at the American University of Washington and author of “Diplomacia encubierta con Cuba: Historia de secret negotiations between Washington and La Habana “.
The bureaucracy to bring to Cuba the list of patrons “can take some months”, but it will not help to withdraw the same sanctions, he said.
“The elements to be made available,” said Professor Arturo López-Levy of the Holy Names University (California), citing aspects such as the Cuban revolution of fugitive states of state justice including during the Trump administration.
Ya hay voces que en EE.UU. running for the new presidency in Cuba, like the Democratic Congressman Jim McGovern and peso and foreign policy organizations such as the Office of Washington in Latin America (WOLA) or the Center for Democracy in the United States (CDA).
They are publishing a roadmap for Biden in the record that six decades of blocking it will block mutual interest, making it difficult for Cubans to live in Russia and China.
How to accelerate the escalation of the crisis in Venezuela – the main ally of Cuba – and the celebration this year in EE.UU. of the IX Cumbre of the Americas, good scenario for the presidents of both countries dialogue dialogues.
The third motive is that, as LeoGrande explained, it is relatively easy: with a single company, Biden can reverse Trump’s orders.
En ello val saam met analyst en exembajador cubano ante la Unión Europea Europea Carlos Alzugaray, quien cree que algunas sanctiones “se Iran rápido si no es esperar esperar” a que la isla salga from the list of patrons, aunque alerto que los partidarios de mantenerlas , like Republican Senator Marco Rubio, states that the objective is the military.
‘N GUNS: APOYO INTERNASIONAL Y UN CAMINO ALLANADO
The most convincing factor for Biden to maintain the mano is that this policy, according to LeoGrande, is not only more effective, it means that the majority of stadiums, businesses – especially the agri-food sector – and Washington allies support the demand.
It also has themes in which bilateral cooperation is fundamental, such as the anti-drug, migration and Venezuelan crisis, enumerated.
Alzugaray val saam and cree that the decision “series welcomed by the majority of allies and key countries in the region such as Argentina and Mexico”.
Recall that Obama trilled the truck while restoring diplomatic relations, firm 22 agreed with vigens and sold his legacy with a directive that could be restored.
“A series of clear signals with some political costs that EE.UU. wants to have ‘mixed power’ policies and abandon Trump’s coercion,” the diplomat said.
For López-Levy, Washington also called “the mayor influenza in the reform (economic) processes that took place in Cuba”.
Other arguments, supported by Cuban-Americans, are the need to normalize consular services in order to block migrant agreements, visas and rehabilitation programs vertoud.
Sanitary cooperation to promote covid-19 series a factor of favor, with the anticipation of the work in Africa against Ebola, Alzugaray recalls.
ON THE OTHER HAND: HUMAN RELEASES AND VOTES IN FLORIDA
Factors in contrast are summarized in the figures -powering- that are systematically opposed to an act while the island is advancing in democracy and human rights, conditions that “perfectly know that Cuba will reject”, LeoGrande said.
Take a record on the real election in Florida, without the fact that Trump was the residence more than 2020 in the US state.
“The Democrats are no longer superior to the Republicans when they are being treated with disdain for Cuba. In that case, they should appeal to the older Cuban-American segment that supports reconciliation,” he said.
Alzugaray also states that its electoral vision condemns a move by Biden that “invests political capital to amortize the consequences for sectors such as New Jersey Senator Bob Menéndez and some Republicans.”
And “in the great eczema of the things”, with the many fraternal fronts that have the new governing, “Cuba quizas not its priority”, apunto.
“If it is done separately in a context in which the EE.UU. is concerned about the pandemic crisis, it could be interpreted as a failure of adequate priorities”, advised López-Levy.